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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Napoli

S S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Bologna

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

2,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

3,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Bologna 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Sampdoria	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Milan	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Udinese	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Bologna	3	2	0	1	-2	6
10	Chievo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Pescara	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Inter	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Torino	3	1	0	2	+2	3
14	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Palermo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Torino	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Pescara	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.