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Serie A
Referee: Luca J Pairetto
Milan
S S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 37%
50%
23%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 45%
47%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%
22 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
12 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Milan 6. · Sassuolo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 31 26 3 2 +56 81
2 Napoli 31 24 5 2 +45 77
3 Lazio 31 18 6 7 +35 60
4 Roma 31 18 6 7 +24 60
5 Inter 31 16 11 4 +28 59
6 Milan 30 15 6 9 +7 51
7 Fiorentina 31 14 8 9 +11 50
8 Atalanta 31 13 9 9 +13 48
9 Sampdoria 31 14 6 11 +4 48
10 Torino 31 11 12 8 +8 45
11 Genoa 31 9 8 14 -7 35
12 Bologna 31 10 5 16 -8 35
13 Udinese 31 10 3 18 -9 33
14 Chievo 31 7 8 16 -22 29
15 Cagliari 31 8 5 18 -23 29
16 Sassuolo 30 7 8 15 -30 29
17 Spal 31 5 12 14 -22 27
18 Crotone 31 7 6 18 -27 27
19 Verona 31 7 4 20 -36 25
20 Benevento 31 4 1 26 -47 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Milan Sassuolo
M. Musacchio 🔁
↦ A. Romagnoli
6′
Franck Kessié 🟨
21′
29′
🟨 Rogério
36′
🟨 Luca Mazzitelli
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 A. Ragusa
↦ D. Berardi
André Silva 🔁
↦ I. Abate
56′
58′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ S. Sensi
N. Kalinić 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
67′
67′
🔁 C. Dell'Orco
↦ Rogério
Mateo Musacchio 🟨
74′
75′
M. Politano 0–1
L. Mazzitelli
Leonardo Bonucci 🟨
81′
1–1 N. Kalinić
M. Musacchio
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Milan

4-3-3
99 G. Donnarumma G
19 L. Bonucci D
20 I. Abate D
68 R. Rodríguez D
13 A. Romagnoli D
21 L. Biglia M
5 G. Bonaventura M
10 H. Çalhanoğlu F
79 F. Kessié M
8 Suso F
63 P. Cutrone F
Bench (12)
22 M. Musacchio
9 André Silva
7 N. Kalinić
2 D. Calabria
4 J. Mauri
11 F. Borini
17 C. Zapata
18 R. Montolivo
30 M. Storari
31 L. Antonelli
73 M. Locatelli
90 A. Donnarumma

Coach: G. Gattuso

Sassuolo

3-5-2
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
5 M. Lemos D
21 Pol Lirola D
26 Rogério M
7 S. Missiroli M
12 S. Sensi M
6 L. Mazzitelli M
16 M. Politano F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (11)
90 A. Ragusa
29 F. Cassata
39 C. Dell'Orco
8 D. Biondini
10 A. Matri
17 N. Pierini
22 D. Frattesi
30 K. Babacar
32 A. Duncan
70 L. Marson
77 G. Pegolo

Coach: G. Iachini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca J Pairetto · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.