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Bundesliga

Referee: Patrick Ittrich

Dortmund

U U S S T

3–0

Full-time

Stuttgart

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 43%

46%

39%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

61%

32%

Both score Ø 50%

61%

39%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 3. · Stuttgart 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	23	3	3	+55	72
2	Schalke 04	29	15	7	7	+12	52
3	Dortmund	28	13	9	6	+15	48
4	RB Leipzig	28	13	7	8	+6	46
5	Leverkusen	28	12	9	7	+12	45
6	Ein Frankfurt	28	13	6	9	+7	45
7	Hoffenheim	28	11	9	8	+11	42
8	M'gladbach	29	11	7	11	-5	40
9	Stuttgart	28	11	5	12	-5	38
10	Hertha	29	8	12	9	-1	36
11	Augsburg	29	9	9	11	-2	36
12	Werder Bremen	29	9	9	11	-2	36
13	Hannover	29	9	8	12	-6	35
14	Freiburg	29	6	12	11	-22	30
15	Wolfsburg	29	5	14	10	-7	29
16	Mainz	29	6	9	14	-17	27
17	Hamburg	29	5	7	17	-23	22
18	FC Koln	29	5	6	18	-28	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	Hoffenheim	14	8	4	2	+16	28
3	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+11	28
4	Schalke 04	14	8	4	2	+9	28
5	Stuttgart	14	8	3	3	+5	27
6	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+13	25
7	M'gladbach	15	7	4	4	+3	25
8	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	3	4	+7	24
9	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Leverkusen	14	6	5	3	+7	23
11	Werder Bremen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
12	Freiburg	15	5	6	4	-3	21
13	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-1	19
14	Hertha	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-3	18
16	Hamburg	15	4	4	7	-4	16
17	Wolfsburg	14	2	7	5	-3	13
18	FC Koln	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Schalke 04	15	7	3	5	+3	24
3	Dortmund	14	6	5	3	+2	23
4	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+5	22
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Hertha	15	4	6	5	+0	18
7	RB Leipzig	14	5	3	6	-5	18
8	Augsburg	14	4	5	5	-1	17
9	Wolfsburg	15	3	7	5	-4	16
10	M'gladbach	14	4	3	7	-8	15
11	Hoffenheim	14	3	5	6	-5	14
12	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Stuttgart	14	3	2	9	-10	11
14	Hannover	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Mainz	15	1	6	8	-14	9
16	Freiburg	14	1	6	7	-19	9
17	FC Koln	14	2	2	10	-20	8
18	Hamburg	14	1	3	10	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.