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Eredivisie
Referee: Paulus van Boekel
Heerenveen
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Groningen
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 27/29 matches
Win Ø 29%
37%
21%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
63%
55%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
66%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · Groningen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 30 25 2 3 +45 77
2 Ajax 29 21 4 4 +51 67
3 AZ Alkmaar 30 19 5 6 +27 62
4 Feyenoord 29 15 6 8 +26 51
5 Zwolle 30 12 7 11 -3 43
6 Utrecht 26 11 8 7 +0 41
7 Vitesse 26 10 8 8 +8 38
8 Heerenveen 27 10 8 9 -3 38
9 Excelsior 30 11 5 14 -10 38
10 Den Haag 28 10 7 11 -7 37
11 Heracles 29 10 7 12 -13 37
12 VVV Venlo 30 7 13 10 -10 34
13 Willem II 30 8 6 16 -11 30
14 NAC Breda 30 8 6 16 -17 30
15 Groningen 29 6 11 12 -5 29
16 Roda 30 7 5 18 -28 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 30 6 6 18 -30 24
18 Twente 29 4 8 17 -20 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Groningen
29′
🟨 Juninho Bacuna
1–0 M. Vlap
A. Zeneli
31′
Denzel Dumfries 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Jesper Drost
↦ A. Hrustic
55′
T. van Weert 1–1
M. Mahi
P. van Amersfoort 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
57′
D. Bulthuis 🔁
↦ K. Pierie
69′
H. Veerman 🔁
↦ J. Bruijn
75′
75′
🔁 Y. van Nieff
↦ M. Mahi
Morten Thorsby 🟨
76′
Henk Veerman 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Tom Van Weert
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
24 M. Hansen G
3 D. Høegh D
16 L. Woudenberg D
2 D. Dumfries D
5 K. Pierie D
21 Y. Kobayashi M
8 M. Thorsby M
26 J. Bruijn M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
13 A. Zeneli F
Bench (9)
19 P. van Amersfoort
14 D. Bulthuis
20 H. Veerman
4 N. Næss
7 M. Rojas
12 D. Schmidt
17 N. Mihajlović
23 W. van der Steen
25 J. Bekkema

Coach: J. Streppel

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
2 D. Zeefuik D
39 A. Absalem D
23 A. Hrustic M
7 J. Bacuna M
25 R. Doan M
36 T. van de Looi M
19 T. van Weert F
10 M. Mahi M
Bench (9)
17 Jesper Drost
20 Y. van Nieff
3 K. Larsen
14 C. Antuna
16 K. Begois
31 J. Hoekstra
37 L. Kramer
47 M. Breij
42 G. Postma

Coach: E. Faber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paulus van Boekel · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.