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Ligue 1

Referee: Antony Gautier

Metz

U U T U U

0–5

Full-time

Lyon

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 36%

16%

55%

Points per game

0,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

52%

61%

Both score Ø 53%

48%

58%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

18 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 20. · Lyon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	32	27	3	2	+74	84
2	Monaco	32	21	7	4	+43	70
3	Marseille	31	18	8	5	+26	62
4	Lyon	31	17	9	5	+28	60
5	Rennes	32	13	8	11	+3	47
6	Nice	32	13	7	12	-1	46
7	Montpellier	31	10	15	6	+5	45
8	Nantes	32	12	8	12	-4	44
9	St Etienne	32	11	10	11	-8	43
10	Guingamp	32	11	8	13	-10	41
11	Dijon	32	11	8	13	-15	41
12	Bordeaux	32	11	7	14	-6	40
13	Amiens	32	10	7	15	-5	37
14	Angers	32	8	12	12	-6	36
15	Caen	32	10	5	17	-19	35
16	Strasbourg	32	8	10	14	-19	34
17	Toulouse	32	7	9	16	-15	30
18	Troyes	32	8	5	19	-21	29
19	Lille	32	7	7	18	-21	28
20	Metz	31	5	7	19	-29	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	16	0	0	+51	48
2	Monaco	17	14	2	1	+29	44
3	Marseille	15	9	4	2	+19	31
4	Dijon	16	9	3	4	+7	30
5	Lyon	15	8	5	2	+11	29
6	Guingamp	17	7	6	4	+4	27
7	Nice	17	8	3	6	+2	27
8	St Etienne	16	6	7	3	+1	25
9	Bordeaux	16	7	4	5	+1	25
10	Caen	16	7	3	6	-1	24
11	Montpellier	16	5	8	3	+4	23
12	Strasbourg	16	6	5	5	+0	23
13	Nantes	15	7	2	6	-1	23
14	Amiens	16	6	4	6	+3	22
15	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
16	Troyes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
17	Toulouse	16	5	5	6	+0	20
18	Angers	16	5	5	6	-3	20
19	Lille	16	4	5	7	-6	17
20	Metz	15	3	3	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	11	3	2	+23	36
2	Lyon	16	9	4	3	+17	31
3	Marseille	16	9	4	3	+7	31
4	Monaco	15	7	5	3	+14	26
5	Rennes	17	7	5	5	+5	26
6	Montpellier	15	5	7	3	+1	22
7	Nantes	17	5	6	6	-3	21
8	Nice	15	5	4	6	-3	19
9	St Etienne	16	5	3	8	-9	18
10	Angers	16	3	7	6	-3	16
11	Bordeaux	16	4	3	9	-7	15
12	Amiens	16	4	3	9	-8	15
13	Guingamp	15	4	2	9	-14	14
14	Lille	16	3	2	11	-15	11
15	Caen	16	3	2	11	-18	11
16	Strasbourg	16	2	5	9	-19	11
17	Dijon	16	2	5	9	-22	11
18	Toulouse	16	2	4	10	-15	10
19	Metz	16	2	4	10	-18	10
20	Troyes	16	2	2	12	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.