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Ligue 1

Referee: Lionel Jaffredo

St Etienne

S S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Toulouse

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 35%

49%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

34%

49%

Both score Ø 46%

37%

54%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 9

0 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 0

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 5. · Toulouse 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	35	28	5	2	+75	89
2	Lyon	35	17	8	10	+21	59
3	Monaco	35	15	14	6	+9	59
4	Nice	36	16	9	11	+14	57
5	St Etienne	35	17	6	12	+8	57
6	Lille	35	13	14	8	+10	53
7	Rennes	36	13	13	10	+1	52
8	Angers	35	13	11	11	+5	50
9	Nantes	36	12	12	12	-6	48
10	Caen	35	14	5	16	-15	47
11	Montpellier	35	12	7	16	+1	43
12	Guingamp	35	11	10	14	-7	43
13	Lorient	35	10	13	12	-8	43
14	Bastia	35	12	7	16	-8	43
15	Bordeaux	34	10	13	11	-11	43
16	Marseille	35	8	17	10	+4	41
17	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	35	8	13	14	-15	37
18	Reims	35	9	9	17	-14	36
19	Toulouse	35	7	12	16	-12	33
20	Troyes	35	3	8	24	-52	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	14	3	1	+43	45
2	Nice	18	11	2	5	+14	35
3	Lyon	17	10	4	3	+20	34
4	St Etienne	17	10	3	4	+11	33
5	Lille	18	9	5	4	+10	32
6	Bastia	18	10	2	6	+8	32
7	Monaco	17	8	6	3	+8	30
8	Nantes	18	8	5	5	+1	29
9	Bordeaux	17	7	6	4	+4	27
10	Angers	17	6	8	3	+7	26
11	Caen	17	8	2	7	-5	26
12	Lorient	17	6	7	4	+5	25
13	Guingamp	18	6	7	5	+4	25
14	Rennes	18	6	7	5	+1	25
15	Montpellier	18	8	0	10	+1	24
16	Reims	17	6	5	6	+3	23
17	Toulouse	18	5	7	6	+7	22
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	18	5	7	6	-5	22
19	Marseille	18	2	11	5	+2	17
20	Troyes	17	1	6	10	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	2	1	+32	44
2	Monaco	18	7	8	3	+1	29
3	Rennes	18	7	6	5	+0	27
4	Lyon	18	7	4	7	+1	25
5	Marseille	17	6	6	5	+2	24
6	Angers	18	7	3	8	-2	24
7	St Etienne	18	7	3	8	-3	24
8	Nice	18	5	7	6	+0	22
9	Lille	17	4	9	4	+0	21
10	Caen	18	6	3	9	-10	21
11	Montpellier	17	4	7	6	+0	19
12	Nantes	18	4	7	7	-7	19
13	Guingamp	17	5	3	9	-11	18
14	Lorient	18	4	6	8	-13	18
15	Bordeaux	17	3	7	7	-15	16
16	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	17	3	6	8	-10	15
17	Reims	18	3	4	11	-17	13
18	Bastia	17	2	5	10	-16	11
19	Toulouse	17	2	5	10	-19	11
20	Troyes	18	2	2	14	-31	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.