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Eliteserien
Referee: S Moen
Kristiansund
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Lillestrom
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 9/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
56%
58%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 16. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 12 8 3 1 +13 27
2 Molde 11 8 1 2 +11 25
3 Viking 13 6 3 4 +7 21
4 Stromsgodset 12 6 2 4 +0 20
5 Bodo/Glimt 12 5 4 3 +7 19
6 Odd 13 6 0 7 -5 18
7 Rosenborg 11 4 5 2 +5 17
8 Sarpsborg 08 11 5 1 5 +9 16
9 Aalesund 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Ham-Kam 11 3 6 2 +3 15
11 Sandefjord 10 4 1 5 -3 13
12 Tromso 11 2 7 2 -3 13
13 Haugesund 13 3 3 7 -5 12
14 Valerenga 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Jerv 11 3 1 7 -13 10
16 Kristiansund 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Lillestrom
1–0 B. Bye
19′
S. Kartum 🔁
↦ A. Coly
28′
Half-time 1–0
T. Gjertsen 🔁
↦ A. Askar
52′
Sebastian Jarl 🟨
57′
71′
A. Adams 1–1
T. Pettersson
B. Willumsson 🔁
↦ L. Kalludra
78′
Andreas Hopmark 🟨
79′
84′
A. Adams 1–2
K. Kairinen
85′
🟨 Akor Adams
87′
H. Friðjónsson 1–3
A. Adams
90′
🔁 F. Holst
↦ A. Adams
93′
🔁 H. Skogvold
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-2-3-1
30 M. Mbaye G
23 A. Askar M
3 C. Aasbak D
6 A. Hopmark M
19 A. Coly D
2 S. Nilsen
26 M. Williamsen D
10 L. Kalludra M
21 A. Diop M
18 S. Jarl M
13 B. Bye F
Bench (9)
8 S. Kartum
7 T. Gjertsen
17 B. Willumsson
1 S. McDermott
14 J. Isaksen
32 M. Alm
22 M. Sjølstad
15 M. Rakneberg
9 A. Muçolli

Coach: C. Michelsen

Lillestrom

3-4-1-2
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
24 T. Pettersson D
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
30 I. Ogbu D
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
25 E. Edh M
21 H. Friðjónsson F
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
9 A. Adams F
Bench (9)
33 H. Skogvold
77 F. Holst
7 P. Helland
2 L. Ranger
3 C. Rösler
1 K. Skjærstein
22 P. Slørdahl
11 T. Svendsen
15 E. Taylor

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Moen · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.