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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Lillestrom
S U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
33%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Kristiansund 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 21 14 4 3 +29 46
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 13 4 4 +16 43
3 Odd 21 11 5 5 +6 38
4 Rosenborg 21 10 6 5 +8 36
5 Brann 22 9 6 7 +5 33
6 Kristiansund 21 9 5 7 +5 32
7 Viking 21 8 6 7 +1 30
8 Haugesund 22 6 9 7 +4 27
9 Valerenga 21 7 6 8 +3 27
10 Lillestrom 21 7 4 10 -8 25
11 Stabaek 21 6 6 9 -5 24
12 Tromso 21 6 4 11 -18 22
13 Mjondalen 21 4 9 8 -10 21
14 Sarpsborg 08 21 3 10 8 -6 19
15 Ranheim 21 5 4 12 -14 19
16 Stromsgodset 21 5 4 12 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Kristiansund
Joonas Tamm 🟨
5′
Marko Maric 🟨
24′
24′
Flamur Kastrati
penalty missed
0–1 Christophe Psyche
own goal
44′
Half-time 0–2
47′
Amahl Pellegrino 0–2
Amidou Diop
49′
🟨 Flamur Kastrati
68′
🔁 Torgil Owre Gjertsen
↦ Flamur Kastrati
Kristoffer Odemarksbakken 🔁
↦ Aleksander Melgalvis
70′
81′
🔁 Andreas Hopmark
↦ Pal Erik Ulvestad
81′
🔁 Sondre Sorlie
↦ Bendik Bye
Daniel Gustafsson 🔁
↦ Ifeanyi Mathew
87′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 Marko Maric G
5 Simen Rafn D
6 Joonas Tamm D
4 Tobias Salquist D
3 Simen Kind Mikalsen D
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
8 Ifeanyi Mathew M
33 Aleksander Melgalvis M
88 Arnór Smárason F
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (7)
40 Mads Christiansen
2 Mats Haakenstad
13 Frode Kippe
15 Erik Brenden
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
7 Daniel Gustafsson
19 Sheriff Sinyan

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Kristiansund

4-3-3
1 Sean McDermott G
19 Aliou Coly D
5 Dan Peter Ulvestad D
4 Christophe Psyche D
3 Christoffer Aasbak D
23 Pal Erik Ulvestad M
10 Liridon Kalludra M
21 Amidou Diop M
13 Bendik Bye F
11 Flamur Kastrati F
9 Amahl Pellegrino F
Bench (7)
30 Serigne Mor Mbaye
6 Andreas Hopmark
15 Erlend Sivertsen
24 Sondre Sorlie
8 Olav Oby
22 Bent Sormo
7 Torgil Owre Gjertsen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.