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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Molde
S S S U S
3–0
Full-time
Tromso
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,7
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
65%
30%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
70%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
70%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Molde 1. · Tromso 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 20 13 4 3 +26 43
2 Bodo/Glimt 20 13 3 4 +16 42
3 Odd 20 11 5 4 +8 38
4 Rosenborg 21 10 6 5 +8 36
5 Brann 20 9 5 6 +6 32
6 Kristiansund 20 8 5 7 +4 29
7 Valerenga 20 7 6 7 +4 27
8 Viking 20 7 6 7 -1 27
9 Haugesund 20 6 7 7 +4 25
10 Lillestrom 21 7 4 10 -8 25
11 Stabaek 20 6 5 9 -5 23
12 Tromso 20 6 4 10 -15 22
13 Mjondalen 20 4 8 8 -10 20
14 Ranheim 20 5 4 11 -13 19
15 Sarpsborg 08 20 2 10 8 -7 16
16 Stromsgodset 20 4 4 12 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Molde Tromso
Magnus Eikrem 🟨
37′
1–0 Leke James
45′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 Runar Espejord
↦ Aidan Barlow
Mathis Bolly 🔁
↦ Erling Knudtzon
63′
2–0 Mathis Bolly
Eirik Hestad
68′
Martin Ellingsen 🔁
↦ Magnus Eikrem
76′
78′
🔁 Daniel Berntsen
↦ Morten Gamst Pedersen
82′
🟨 Lasse Nilsen
3–0 Etzaz Hussain
Eirik Hestad
84′
Ohi Omoijuanfo 🔁
↦ Leke James
85′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
12 Alexandro Craninx G
18 Kristoffer Haraldseid D
2 Martin Bjornbak D
4 Ruben Gabrielsen D
28 Kristoffer Haugen D
16 Etzaz Hussain M
17 Fredrik Aursnes M
19 Eirik Hestad M
7 Magnus Eikrem M
14 Erling Knudtzon M
10 Leke James F
Bench (7)
26 Mathias Eriksen Ranmark
5 Vegard Forren
15 Tobias Christensen
11 Martin Ellingsen
8 Fredrik Sjolstad
30 Mathis Bolly
99 Ohi Omoijuanfo

Coach: E. Moe

Tromso

3-5-1-1
1 Gudmund Kongshavn G
26 Jostein Gundersen D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
11 Robert Taylor M
18 Onni Valakari M
23 Eric Smith M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
20 Aidan Barlow F
77 Fitim Azemi F
Bench (5)
28 Jakob Karlstrom
2 Artem Sokol
17 Daniel Berntsen
15 Magnus Andersen
30 Runar Espejord

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.