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Ligue 1

Referee: Johan Hamel

Caen

T S S T S

1–0

Full-time

St Etienne

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 63%

63%

Points per game

1,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 7

4 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 7. · St Etienne 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Angers	9	5	3	1	+5	18
3	Rennes	9	4	4	1	+5	16
4	St Etienne	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Lyon	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Reims	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Caen	8	5	0	3	+0	15
8	Nice	8	4	2	2	+9	14
9	Monaco	9	3	4	2	-1	13
10	Guingamp	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Lorient	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Lille	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Bastia	9	3	1	5	-2	10
14	Bordeaux	8	2	4	2	-2	10
15	Nantes	8	3	1	4	-6	10
16	Marseille	8	2	2	4	+4	8
17	Toulouse	9	1	5	3	-5	8
18	Montpellier	9	1	1	7	-8	4
19	Troyes	9	0	4	5	-11	4
20	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	9	0	3	6	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reims	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Bastia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Angers	5	2	3	0	+2	9
4	Caen	4	3	0	1	+0	9
5	Rennes	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Marseille	5	2	1	2	+7	7
8	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+5	7
9	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Lorient	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Lille	5	2	1	2	+1	7
13	St Etienne	4	2	1	1	+0	7
14	Nice	4	2	0	2	+4	6
15	Toulouse	4	1	3	0	+1	6
16	Nantes	4	2	0	2	-3	6
17	Montpellier	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Troyes	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Monaco	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Monaco	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Angers	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	St Etienne	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Nice	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Rennes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Lyon	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Caen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Guingamp	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Reims	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Lorient	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Lille	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Bordeaux	4	0	3	1	-5	3
15	Toulouse	5	0	2	3	-6	2
16	Marseille	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Montpellier	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Bastia	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.