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Ligue 1
Referee: Olivier Thual
Paris SG
T S S S S
8–0
Full-time
Dijon
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 60%
85%
35%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

69% Possession 31%
22 Shots 6
14 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Dijon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 17 2 1 +44 53
2 Lyon 21 13 6 2 +28 45
3 Marseille 21 13 5 3 +21 44
4 Monaco 21 13 4 4 +27 43
5 Nantes 21 10 4 7 -1 34
6 Nice 21 9 4 8 -4 31
7 Guingamp 21 8 5 8 -3 29
8 Montpellier 21 6 10 5 +4 28
9 Rennes 21 8 4 9 -4 28
10 Caen 21 8 3 10 -8 27
11 Dijon 20 7 4 9 -5 25
12 Strasbourg 21 6 6 9 -11 24
13 Bordeaux 21 6 5 10 -8 23
14 St Etienne 21 6 5 10 -16 23
15 Angers 21 4 10 7 -6 22
16 Amiens 21 6 4 11 -6 22
17 Lille 21 6 4 11 -13 22
18 Troyes 21 6 3 12 -10 21
19 Toulouse 21 5 5 11 -11 20
20 Metz 21 4 3 14 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Dijon
1–0 Á. Di María
G. Lo Celso
4′
2–0 Á. Di María
Neymar
15′
3–0 E. Cavani
Á. Di María
21′
4–0 Neymar
42′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 O. Haddadi
↦ C. Varrault
5–0 Neymar
57′
C. Nkunku 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
61′
62′
🔁 E. Massouema
↦ M. Abeid
63′
🟨 Eden Massouema
K. Mbappé 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
68′
72′
🔁 F. Balmont
↦ Xeka
6–0 Neymar
Yuri
73′
7–0 K. Mbappé
Neymar
77′
A. Rabiot 🔁
↦ G. Lo Celso
78′
8–0 Neymar
83′
Full-time 8–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
2 Thiago Silva D
17 Yuri D
12 T. Meunier D
3 P. Kimpembe D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
18 G. Lo Celso M
9 E. Cavani F
10 Neymar F
Bench (7)
24 C. Nkunku
29 K. Mbappé
25 A. Rabiot
1 K. Trapp
5 Marquinhos
20 L. Kurzawa
32 Dani Alves

Coach: Unai Emery

Dijon

4-1-4-1
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
26 F. Chafik D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
8 M. Abeid M
14 J. Marié M
28 Xeka M
29 B. Jeannot F
9 W. Saïd F
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
Bench (7)
5 O. Haddadi
21 E. Massouema
15 F. Balmont
1 B. Leroy
7 F. Sammaritano
10 N. Sliti
11 Júlio Tavares

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Olivier Thual · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.