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Ligue 1
Referee: Mikael Lesage
Guingamp
T U T U S
4–0
Full-time
Dijon
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
38%
75%
Both score Ø 60%
44%
75%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
18 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Guingamp 15. · Dijon 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 2 1 +38 44
2 Lyon 16 9 5 2 +22 32
3 Monaco 16 10 2 4 +21 32
4 Marseille 16 9 5 2 +13 32
5 Nantes 16 8 3 5 -1 27
6 Rennes 16 7 3 6 +2 24
7 Caen 16 7 2 7 -5 23
8 Montpellier 16 5 7 4 +4 22
9 Amiens 16 6 3 7 -2 21
10 Dijon 16 6 3 7 -3 21
11 Strasbourg 17 5 6 6 -5 21
12 Bordeaux 17 5 5 7 -4 20
13 Nice 16 6 2 8 -7 20
14 St Etienne 16 5 5 6 -7 20
15 Guingamp 16 5 4 7 -8 19
16 Troyes 16 5 3 8 -5 18
17 Lille 17 5 3 9 -10 18
18 Toulouse 16 4 4 8 -9 16
19 Angers 16 2 8 6 -8 14
20 Metz 16 1 1 14 -26 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Dijon
12′
🟥 Oussama Haddadi
J. Ikoko 🔁
↦ J. Martins-Pereira
22′
25′
🔁 A. Bouka Moutou
↦ Kwon Chang-Hoon
1–0 J. Briand
Pedro Rebocho
37′
2–0 Y. Salibur
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ Júlio Tavares
3–0 M. Coco
J. Briand
59′
L. Phiri 🔁
↦ L. Deaux
60′
4–0 C. Kerbrat
N. Benezet
66′
70′
🔁 N. Sliti
↦ M. Abeid
F. Tabanou 🔁
↦ Y. Salibur
81′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
1 K. Johnsson G
22 J. Martins-Pereira D
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
3 Pedro Rebocho D
5 M. Diallo M
8 L. Deaux M
10 N. Benezet M
24 M. Coco M
23 J. Briand F
19 Y. Salibur M
Bench (7)
2 J. Ikoko
18 L. Phiri
27 F. Tabanou
16 M. Caillard
20 F. Eboa Eboa
21 M. Thuram
26 T. Giresse

Coach: A. Kombouare

Dijon

4-4-2
30 B. Reynet G
4 P. Djilobodji D
5 O. Haddadi D
26 F. Chafik D
18 C. Yamberé D
7 F. Sammaritano M
20 R. Amalfitano M
8 M. Abeid M
11 Júlio Tavares F
9 W. Saïd F
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
Bench (7)
3 A. Bouka Moutou
29 B. Jeannot
10 N. Sliti
1 B. Leroy
2 Á. Lang
14 J. Marié
15 F. Balmont

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mikael Lesage · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.