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Ligue 1
Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry
Dijon
S T T U U
1–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
1,5
3,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
13%
88%
Points per game
0,8
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
3,4
4,0
Scored
1,3
3,4
Conceded
2,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
15 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 9
5 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 17. · Paris SG 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 7 1 0 +22 22
2 Monaco 9 6 1 2 +12 19
3 Lyon 9 4 4 1 +5 16
4 Marseille 8 5 1 2 +3 16
5 Nantes 8 5 1 2 +1 16
6 Caen 8 5 0 3 +3 15
7 Bordeaux 8 4 3 1 +2 15
8 St Etienne 8 4 2 2 +2 14
9 Troyes 8 3 2 3 +0 11
10 Nice 8 3 1 4 +0 10
11 Guingamp 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Angers 8 1 6 1 +1 9
13 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Toulouse 8 2 2 4 -6 8
15 Rennes 8 1 3 4 -2 6
16 Amiens 7 2 0 5 -6 6
17 Dijon 8 1 3 4 -7 6
18 Lille 7 1 2 4 -7 5
19 Strasbourg 8 1 2 5 -8 5
20 Metz 8 1 0 7 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Paris SG
40′
🟨 Neymar
Naïm Sliti 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Presnel Kimpembe
Valentin Rosier 🟨
50′
52′
🟨 Dani Alves
70′
T. Meunier 0–1
W. Saïd 🔁
↦ N. Sliti
72′
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ Kwon Chang-Hoon
73′
73′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ J. Draxler
75′
🟨 Adrien Rabiot
Jordan Marié 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ Á. Di María
F. Balmont 🔁
↦ J. Marié
82′
Benjamin Jeannot 🟨
87′
1–1 B. Jeannot
87′
92′
T. Meunier 1–2
K. Mbappé
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-3
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
4 P. Djilobodji D
5 O. Haddadi D
19 V. Rosier D
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
10 N. Sliti M
28 Xeka M
29 B. Jeannot F
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
Bench (7)
9 W. Saïd
7 F. Sammaritano
15 F. Balmont
8 M. Abeid
1 B. Leroy
2 Á. Lang
26 F. Chafik

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
32 Dani Alves D
17 Yuri D
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
11 Á. Di María F
23 J. Draxler M
25 A. Rabiot M
10 Neymar F
29 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
18 G. Lo Celso
7 Lucas Moura
31 A. Georgen
24 C. Nkunku
35 A. Bernede
1 K. Trapp
27 J. Pastore

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jerome Miguelgorry · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.