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Ligue 1
Referee: Olivier Thual
Paris SG
T S S S S
8–0
Full-time
Dijon
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 60%
85%
35%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

69% Possession 31%
22 Shots 6
14 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Dijon 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 17 2 1 +44 53
2 Lyon 21 13 6 2 +28 45
3 Marseille 21 13 5 3 +21 44
4 Monaco 21 13 4 4 +27 43
5 Nantes 21 10 4 7 -1 34
6 Nice 21 9 4 8 -4 31
7 Guingamp 21 8 5 8 -3 29
8 Montpellier 21 6 10 5 +4 28
9 Rennes 21 8 4 9 -4 28
10 Caen 21 8 3 10 -8 27
11 Dijon 20 7 4 9 -5 25
12 Strasbourg 21 6 6 9 -11 24
13 Bordeaux 21 6 5 10 -8 23
14 St Etienne 21 6 5 10 -16 23
15 Angers 21 4 10 7 -6 22
16 Amiens 21 6 4 11 -6 22
17 Lille 21 6 4 11 -13 22
18 Troyes 21 6 3 12 -10 21
19 Toulouse 21 5 5 11 -11 20
20 Metz 21 4 3 14 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Dijon
1–0 Á. Di María ⚽
G. Lo Celso
4′
2–0 Á. Di María ⚽
Neymar
15′
3–0 E. Cavani ⚽
Á. Di María
21′
4–0 Neymar ⚽
42′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 O. Haddadi
↦ C. Varrault
5–0 Neymar ⚽
57′
C. Nkunku 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
61′
62′
🔁 E. Massouema
↦ M. Abeid
63′
🟨 Eden Massouema
K. Mbappé 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
68′
72′
🔁 F. Balmont
↦ Xeka
6–0 Neymar ⚽
Yuri
73′
7–0 K. Mbappé ⚽
Neymar
77′
A. Rabiot 🔁
↦ G. Lo Celso
78′
8–0 Neymar ⚽
83′
Full-time 8–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
2 Thiago Silva D
17 Yuri D
12 T. Meunier D
3 P. Kimpembe D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
18 G. Lo Celso M
9 E. Cavani F
10 Neymar F
Bench (7)
24 C. Nkunku
29 K. Mbappé
25 A. Rabiot
1 K. Trapp
5 Marquinhos
20 L. Kurzawa
32 Dani Alves

Coach: Unai Emery

Dijon

4-1-4-1
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
26 F. Chafik D
18 C. Yamberé D
19 V. Rosier D
8 M. Abeid M
14 J. Marié M
28 Xeka M
29 B. Jeannot F
9 W. Saïd F
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
Bench (7)
5 O. Haddadi
21 E. Massouema
15 F. Balmont
1 B. Leroy
7 F. Sammaritano
10 N. Sliti
11 Júlio Tavares

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Olivier Thual · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.