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Ligue 1

Referee: Stephane Jochem

Troyes

T S T T T

1–0

Full-time

Lille

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

57%

Both score Ø 38%

43%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

7 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 18. · Lille 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	21	18	2	1	+52	56
2	Marseille	22	14	5	3	+23	47
3	Lyon	21	13	6	2	+28	45
4	Monaco	21	13	4	4	+27	43
5	Nantes	22	10	4	8	-2	34
6	Nice	21	9	4	8	-4	31
7	Guingamp	21	8	5	8	-3	29
8	Montpellier	21	6	10	5	+4	28
9	Rennes	21	8	4	9	-4	28
10	Caen	22	8	3	11	-10	27
11	Bordeaux	22	7	5	10	-7	26
12	Dijon	21	7	4	10	-13	25
13	Strasbourg	21	6	6	9	-11	24
14	St Etienne	21	6	5	10	-16	23
15	Angers	21	4	10	7	-6	22
16	Amiens	21	6	4	11	-6	22
17	Lille	21	6	4	11	-13	22
18	Troyes	21	6	3	12	-10	21
19	Toulouse	21	5	5	11	-11	20
20	Metz	21	4	3	14	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	11	0	0	+35	33
2	Monaco	11	8	2	1	+19	26
3	Marseille	10	7	2	1	+16	23
4	Dijon	11	6	2	3	+5	20
5	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+9	19
6	Guingamp	11	5	4	2	+5	19
7	Nice	11	6	1	4	+2	19
8	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
9	Caen	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	St Etienne	11	4	4	3	-2	16
11	Strasbourg	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Toulouse	10	4	3	3	+2	15
13	Amiens	10	4	2	4	+2	14
14	Montpellier	11	3	5	3	+2	14
15	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	-1	14
16	Troyes	11	4	2	5	-1	14
17	Rennes	10	4	1	5	-4	13
18	Lille	10	3	3	4	-2	12
19	Angers	10	2	4	4	-5	10
20	Metz	11	2	1	8	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	11	8	2	1	+19	26
2	Marseille	12	7	3	2	+7	24
3	Paris SG	10	7	2	1	+17	23
4	Monaco	10	5	2	3	+8	17
5	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Nantes	11	4	3	4	-4	15
7	Montpellier	10	3	5	2	+2	14
8	Angers	11	2	6	3	-1	12
9	Bordeaux	12	3	3	6	-6	12
10	Nice	10	3	3	4	-6	12
11	Guingamp	10	3	1	6	-8	10
12	Caen	10	3	1	6	-8	10
13	Lille	11	3	1	7	-11	10
14	Strasbourg	11	2	3	6	-13	9
15	Metz	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Amiens	11	2	2	7	-8	8
17	Troyes	10	2	1	7	-9	7
18	St Etienne	10	2	1	7	-14	7
19	Toulouse	11	1	2	8	-13	5
20	Dijon	10	1	2	7	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.