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Ligue 1
Referee: Olivier Thual
Angers
T S S U T
3–0
Full-time
Caen
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 29%
23%
34%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
47%
24%
Both score Ø 39%
53%
24%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 14. · Caen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 30 26 2 2 +73 80
2 Monaco 30 20 6 4 +42 66
3 Marseille 29 17 8 4 +25 59
4 Lyon 29 15 9 5 +25 54
5 Rennes 30 13 6 11 +3 45
6 Nantes 29 12 7 10 +0 43
7 Nice 29 12 6 11 -2 42
8 Montpellier 29 9 14 6 +3 41
9 Bordeaux 30 10 7 13 -6 37
10 Dijon 29 10 7 12 -14 37
11 St Etienne 29 9 9 11 -13 36
12 Caen 29 10 5 14 -11 35
13 Guingamp 29 9 8 12 -13 35
14 Angers 30 7 11 12 -9 32
15 Strasbourg 29 8 7 14 -19 31
16 Amiens 29 8 6 15 -9 30
17 Toulouse 29 7 8 14 -12 29
18 Troyes 29 8 4 17 -15 28
19 Lille 30 7 7 16 -19 28
20 Metz 29 5 5 19 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Caen
1–0 F. Tait
K. Toko Ekambi
10′
11′
🟨 Rémy Vercoutre
14′
🟨 Frédéric Guilbert
2–0 K. Toko Ekambi
F. Tait
43′
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 T. Stavitski
↦ J. Repas
61′
🔁 H. Bazile
↦ I. Diomandé
A. Fulgini 🔁
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
69′
69′
🔁 B. Sankoh
↦ Y. Aït Bennasser
3–0 P. Oniangué
A. Fulgini
74′
B. Guillaume 🔁
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
75′
Baptiste Guillaume 🟨
78′
L. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ P. Oniangué
80′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
6 P. Oniangué M
20 F. Tait M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
23 A. Fulgini
19 B. Guillaume
12 L. Coulibaly
1 M. Michel
10 G. Sunu
21 L. Puyo
24 R. Thomas

Coach: S. Moulin

Caen

3-5-2
1 R. Vercoutre G
28 D. Da Silva D
21 F. Guilbert D
24 A. Djiku D
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
8 S. Peeters M
4 I. Diomandé D
9 J. Repas M
10 Y. Aït Bennasser M
26 I. Santini F
Bench (7)
7 T. Stavitski
20 H. Bazile
5 B. Sankoh
13 C. Kouakou
29 R. Genevois
30 B. Samba
32 J. Deminguet

Coach: P. Garande

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Olivier Thual · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.