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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Twente
T U T U T
2–2
Full-time
Willem II
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 21%
15%
26%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
59%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 17. · Willem II 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 27 22 2 3 +37 68
2 Ajax 27 19 4 4 +47 61
3 AZ Alkmaar 27 17 5 5 +24 56
4 Feyenoord 27 13 6 8 +20 45
5 Utrecht 24 11 7 6 +1 40
6 Zwolle 27 11 7 9 -3 40
7 Vitesse 23 10 7 6 +12 37
8 Den Haag 26 10 6 10 -4 36
9 Heracles 27 10 6 11 -12 36
10 Heerenveen 26 9 8 9 -4 35
11 Excelsior 28 10 5 13 -6 35
12 VVV Venlo 27 7 12 8 -6 33
13 Groningen 27 6 11 10 -3 29
14 NAC Breda 27 7 6 14 -13 27
15 Willem II 27 7 5 15 -11 26
16 Sparta Rotterdam 27 5 6 16 -26 21
17 Twente 27 4 6 17 -20 18
18 Roda 27 4 5 18 -33 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Willem II
14′
K. Tsimikas 0–1
J. van der Heyden 🔁
↦ D. Holla
33′
42′
🟨 Thom Haye
1–1 T. Lam
A. Maher
43′
Half-time 1–1
Thomas Lam 🟨
62′
70′
Fran Sol 1–2
K. Tsimikas
A. Tighadouini 🔁
↦ O. Assaidi
71′
J. Hooiveld 🔁
↦ C. Cuevas
81′
83′
🔁 G. Wijnaldum
↦ K. Tsimikas
2–2 P. Bijen
T. Lam
87′
Jos Hooiveld 🟨
88′
94′
🔁 J. Croux
↦ M. El Hankouri
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
5 S. Thesker D
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
28 J. van der Lely D
21 D. Holla M
20 A. Maher M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (7)
23 J. van der Heyden
34 A. Tighadouini
4 J. Hooiveld
14 R. Jensen
18 M. Liendl
26 J. Brondeel
27 L. Slagveer

Coach: G. Verbeek

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
29 D. Lachman D
3 F. Heerkens D
2 F. Lewis D
21 K. Tsimikas D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 T. Haye M
6 Chirivella M
20 E. Lieftink M
9 Fran Sol F
19 M. El Hankouri F
Bench (8)
15 G. Wijnaldum
11 J. Croux
36 W. Sprangers
5 J. van der Linden
8 B. Ogbeche
34 D. Dankerlui
51 K. Kristinsson
93 S. van der Lei

Coach: R. Robbemond

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.