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Championship

Referee: Simon Hooper

Brentford

S T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Middlesbrough

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,2

This season — Championship · 37/35 matches

Win Ø 45%

38%

51%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

46%

51%

Both score Ø 45%

46%

43%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%

24 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 11. · Middlesbrough 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	37	24	7	6	+34	79
2	Cardiff	37	23	7	7	+27	76
3	Fulham	35	18	11	6	+25	65
4	Aston Villa	34	18	8	8	+23	62
5	Derby	35	16	13	6	+22	61
6	Middlesbrough	35	18	6	11	+19	60
7	Sheffield United	37	18	5	14	+8	59
8	Bristol City	37	15	13	9	+11	58
9	Millwall	38	15	13	10	+9	58
10	Preston	37	14	15	8	+9	57
11	Brentford	37	14	11	12	+8	53
12	Ipswich	37	15	7	15	+0	52
13	Leeds	37	14	8	15	-2	50
14	Norwich	37	12	13	12	-4	49
15	QPR	38	12	11	15	-10	47
16	Nott'm Forest	37	13	6	18	-11	45
17	Hull	37	9	12	16	-3	39
18	Sheffield Weds	37	8	14	15	-12	38
19	Reading	37	8	12	17	-12	36
20	Bolton	37	8	12	17	-24	36
21	Barnsley	38	7	12	19	-19	33
22	Birmingham	37	8	6	23	-32	30
23	Burton Albion	37	7	9	21	-38	30
24	Sunderland	37	5	13	19	-28	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	19	14	3	2	+22	45
2	Wolves	18	13	3	2	+23	42
3	Fulham	18	10	6	2	+19	36
4	Middlesbrough	18	11	3	4	+13	36
5	Aston Villa	17	10	5	2	+17	35
6	Sheffield United	18	11	2	5	+13	35
7	Millwall	19	9	7	3	+10	34
8	Derby	17	9	5	3	+16	32
9	Bristol City	18	9	5	4	+12	32
10	QPR	19	9	5	5	+1	32
11	Brentford	18	7	8	3	+11	29
12	Ipswich	19	8	4	7	+5	28
13	Preston	19	7	7	5	+3	28
14	Leeds	18	7	5	6	+2	26
15	Nott'm Forest	19	8	2	9	-5	26
16	Hull	19	6	7	6	+8	25
17	Bolton	18	7	4	7	-3	25
18	Norwich	18	5	8	5	+0	23
19	Sheffield Weds	19	5	7	7	-3	22
20	Birmingham	18	6	2	10	-10	20
21	Reading	19	3	7	9	-8	16
22	Barnsley	19	3	7	9	-10	16
23	Sunderland	18	2	6	10	-14	12
24	Burton Albion	19	2	4	13	-23	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	19	11	4	4	+11	37
2	Cardiff	18	9	4	5	+5	31
3	Fulham	17	8	5	4	+6	29
4	Derby	18	7	8	3	+6	29
5	Preston	18	7	8	3	+6	29
6	Aston Villa	17	8	3	6	+6	27
7	Bristol City	19	6	8	5	-1	26
8	Norwich	19	7	5	7	-4	26
9	Middlesbrough	17	7	3	7	+6	24
10	Millwall	19	6	6	7	-1	24
11	Brentford	19	7	3	9	-3	24
12	Leeds	19	7	3	9	-4	24
13	Ipswich	18	7	3	8	-5	24
14	Sheffield United	19	7	3	9	-5	24
15	Reading	18	5	5	8	-4	20
16	Burton Albion	18	5	5	8	-15	20
17	Nott'm Forest	18	5	4	9	-6	19
18	Barnsley	19	4	5	10	-9	17
19	Sheffield Weds	18	3	7	8	-9	16
20	Sunderland	19	3	7	9	-14	16
21	QPR	19	3	6	10	-11	15
22	Hull	18	3	5	10	-11	14
23	Bolton	19	1	8	10	-21	11
24	Birmingham	19	2	4	13	-22	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.