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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Valencia

S S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Alaves

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 49%

61%

36%

Points per game

2,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

61%

46%

Both score Ø 50%

61%

39%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%

24 Shots 16

10 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 4. · Alaves 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	28	22	6	0	+59	72
2	Ath Madrid	28	19	7	2	+36	64
3	Real Madrid	28	17	6	5	+37	57
4	Valencia	28	17	5	6	+24	56
5	Sevilla	28	14	3	11	-6	45
6	Villarreal	28	13	5	10	+6	44
7	Girona	28	12	7	9	+4	43
8	Betis	28	12	4	12	-7	40
9	Eibar	29	11	6	12	-7	39
10	Celta	28	11	5	12	+3	38
11	Getafe	28	9	9	10	+7	36
12	Ath Bilbao	28	8	11	9	-2	35
13	Espanol	28	8	11	9	-8	35
14	Sociedad	28	9	6	13	+0	33
15	Leganes	28	9	6	13	-11	33
16	Alaves	28	10	1	17	-17	31
17	Levante	29	5	12	12	-18	27
18	Las Palmas	29	5	6	18	-37	21
19	La Coruna	29	4	8	17	-34	20
20	Malaga	28	3	4	21	-29	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	2	0	+32	35
2	Ath Madrid	14	10	4	0	+20	34
3	Valencia	14	10	2	2	+17	32
4	Real Madrid	14	9	2	3	+24	29
5	Getafe	15	8	3	4	+14	27
6	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+6	27
7	Girona	14	8	2	4	+11	26
8	Espanol	15	7	4	4	+2	25
9	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+8	24
10	Villarreal	13	7	2	4	+9	23
11	Celta	13	6	4	3	+5	22
12	Ath Bilbao	14	5	7	2	+5	22
13	Alaves	15	7	1	7	-4	22
14	Sociedad	14	6	3	5	+8	21
15	Leganes	13	6	3	4	+1	21
16	Betis	14	6	3	5	-3	21
17	Levante	15	3	6	6	-7	15
18	La Coruna	15	3	5	7	-8	14
19	Las Palmas	14	4	2	8	-13	14
20	Malaga	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	4	0	+27	37
2	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+16	30
3	Real Madrid	14	8	4	2	+13	28
4	Valencia	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Villarreal	15	6	3	6	-3	21
6	Betis	14	6	1	7	-4	19
7	Sevilla	14	6	0	8	-12	18
8	Girona	14	4	5	5	-7	17
9	Celta	15	5	1	9	-2	16
10	Eibar	14	4	3	7	-15	15
11	Ath Bilbao	14	3	4	7	-7	13
12	Sociedad	14	3	3	8	-8	12
13	Levante	14	2	6	6	-11	12
14	Leganes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
15	Espanol	13	1	7	5	-10	10
16	Getafe	13	1	6	6	-7	9
17	Alaves	13	3	0	10	-13	9
18	Las Palmas	15	1	4	10	-24	7
19	La Coruna	14	1	3	10	-26	6
20	Malaga	14	1	1	12	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.