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Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

RB Leipzig

S T T U U

2–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,3

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 62%

42%

81%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

54%

65%

Both score Ø 52%

62%

42%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%

16 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 6. · Bayern Munich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	26	21	3	2	+47	66
2	Schalke 04	27	14	7	6	+11	49
3	Dortmund	27	13	9	5	+21	48
4	Ein Frankfurt	27	13	6	8	+8	45
5	Leverkusen	27	12	8	7	+12	44
6	RB Leipzig	26	11	7	8	+4	40
7	Hoffenheim	27	10	9	8	+5	39
8	Stuttgart	27	11	4	12	-5	37
9	M'gladbach	27	10	6	11	-6	36
10	Augsburg	27	9	8	10	+1	35
11	Hertha	27	8	11	8	+0	35
12	Werder Bremen	27	8	9	10	-2	33
13	Hannover	27	8	8	11	-6	32
14	Freiburg	27	6	12	9	-18	30
15	Wolfsburg	27	4	13	10	-9	25
16	Mainz	27	6	7	14	-17	25
17	FC Koln	27	5	5	17	-22	20
18	Hamburg	27	4	6	17	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	11	2	0	+31	35
2	Stuttgart	13	8	2	3	+5	26
3	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+13	25
4	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+10	25
5	Hoffenheim	13	7	4	2	+10	25
6	Schalke 04	13	7	4	2	+7	25
7	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	3	4	+7	24
8	Leverkusen	13	6	4	3	+7	22
9	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+2	22
10	Hannover	13	6	3	4	+4	21
11	Freiburg	14	5	6	3	-1	21
12	Augsburg	14	5	4	5	+2	19
13	Werder Bremen	13	5	4	4	+2	19
14	Hertha	13	4	5	4	-1	17
15	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-3	17
16	Wolfsburg	14	2	7	5	-3	13
17	Hamburg	14	3	4	7	-5	13
18	FC Koln	14	3	3	8	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+16	31
2	Schalke 04	14	7	3	4	+4	24
3	Dortmund	13	6	5	2	+8	23
4	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+5	22
5	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Hertha	14	4	6	4	+1	18
7	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	-1	16
8	RB Leipzig	13	4	3	6	-6	15
9	Werder Bremen	14	3	5	6	-4	14
10	Hoffenheim	14	3	5	6	-5	14
11	M'gladbach	13	4	2	7	-8	14
12	Wolfsburg	13	2	6	5	-6	12
13	Stuttgart	14	3	2	9	-10	11
14	Hannover	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Freiburg	13	1	6	6	-17	9
16	Mainz	14	1	5	8	-14	8
17	FC Koln	13	2	2	9	-14	8
18	Hamburg	13	1	2	10	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.