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Ligue 1
Referee: Clement Turpin
Paris SG
S S S S T
2–2
Full-time
Nice
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 72%
69%
75%
Points per game
2,2
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 35%
25%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
0,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Nice 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 17 12 3 2 +37 39
2 Nice 16 12 3 1 +20 39
3 Paris SG 16 11 2 3 +19 35
4 Lyon 16 9 1 6 +11 28
5 Rennes 17 8 3 6 -2 27
6 Guingamp 17 7 5 5 +5 26
7 Toulouse 17 7 4 6 +3 25
8 St Etienne 17 6 7 4 +3 25
9 Marseille 17 6 6 5 +0 24
10 Bordeaux 17 6 6 5 -2 24
11 Lille 17 6 2 9 -5 20
12 Angers 17 5 4 8 -5 19
13 Montpellier 17 4 7 6 -6 19
14 Nancy 17 5 4 8 -8 19
15 Metz 16 5 3 8 -15 18
16 Bastia 17 4 5 8 -6 17
17 Dijon 17 3 7 7 -4 16
18 Caen 16 4 3 9 -14 15
19 Nantes 16 3 4 9 -17 13
20 Lorient 17 3 3 11 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -16 Paris SG – Nice 4–1 4. Dec -15 Nice – Paris SG 0–3

Match report

Paris SG Nice
11′
🟨 Malang Sarr
32′
⚽ W. Cyprien 0–1
Layvin Kurzawa 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
Lucas Moura 🔁
↦ G. Krychowiak
46′
1–1 E. Cavani ⚽
S. Aurier
46′
48′
⚽ A. Pléa 1–2
Dalbert Henrique
49′
🔁 O. Boscagli
↦ Dalbert Henrique
2–2 E. Cavani ⚽
60′
H. Ben Arfa 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
75′
75′
🔁 M. Balotelli
↦ A. Pléa
Thiago Motta 🟨
77′
T. Meunier 🔁
↦ Á. di María
82′
83′
🟨 Mario Balotelli
90′
🟨 Younès Belhanda
90′
🔁 V. Koziello
↦ R. Walter
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
16 A. Areola G
2 Thiago Silva D
20 L. Kurzawa D
19 S. Aurier D
5 Marquinhos D
14 B. Matuidi M
8 T. Motta M
11 Á. di María F
6 M. Verratti M
4 G. Krychowiak M
9 E. Cavani F
Bench (7)
7 Lucas Moura
21 H. Ben Arfa
12 T. Meunier
1 K. Trapp
17 Maxwell
22 Jesé
29 J. Augustin

Coach: Unai Emery

Nice

3-5-1-1
30 Y. Cardinale G
31 Dante D
2 A. Souquet D
21 Ricardo Pereira D
29 Dalbert Henrique D
32 M. Sarr D
5 Y. Belhanda M
6 J. Seri M
18 R. Walter M
25 W. Cyprien M
14 A. Pléa F
Bench (7)
28 O. Boscagli
9 M. Balotelli
26 V. Koziello
33 V. Marcel
22 A. Donis
24 M. Bodmer
40 W. Benítez

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Clement Turpin · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.