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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Montpellier

T U T U U

2–0

Full-time

Caen

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 27%

40%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

40%

48%

Both score Ø 51%

45%

57%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 7. · Caen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	19	17	2	0	+52	53
2	Lille	22	13	4	5	+14	43
3	Lyon	21	10	7	4	+10	37
4	St Etienne	21	10	6	5	+7	36
5	Strasbourg	22	9	8	5	+13	35
6	Nice	22	9	7	6	-1	34
7	Montpellier	20	8	8	4	+10	32
8	Marseille	21	9	4	8	+3	31
9	Reims	22	7	10	5	-2	31
10	Rennes	21	8	6	7	+2	30
11	Nimes	22	8	5	9	-2	29
12	Bordeaux	21	7	7	7	+0	28
13	Toulouse	21	6	7	8	-10	25
14	Nantes	21	6	5	10	-2	23
15	Angers	21	5	8	8	-4	23
16	Dijon	21	5	5	11	-14	20
17	Caen	21	3	9	9	-9	18
18	Amiens	21	5	3	13	-18	18
19	Monaco	22	3	6	13	-19	15
20	Guingamp	22	3	5	14	-30	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	10	0	0	+34	30
2	St Etienne	11	8	2	1	+13	26
3	Lille	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Lyon	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Strasbourg	11	5	4	2	+7	19
6	Bordeaux	11	5	4	2	+4	19
7	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+10	18
8	Reims	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Nice	11	5	2	4	-2	17
10	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+7	16
11	Nantes	10	4	3	3	+8	15
12	Nimes	11	4	3	4	+3	15
13	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+2	15
14	Angers	11	3	4	4	-1	13
15	Dijon	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Toulouse	10	2	4	4	-4	10
17	Caen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-5	10
19	Guingamp	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Monaco	11	0	4	7	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Lille	11	6	1	4	+2	19
3	Nice	11	4	5	2	+1	17
4	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+6	16
5	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Lyon	10	4	4	2	+1	16
7	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Toulouse	11	4	3	4	-6	15
9	Reims	11	3	5	3	-4	14
10	Nimes	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Marseille	11	4	1	6	-7	13
12	Monaco	11	3	2	6	-5	11
13	Angers	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-6	10
15	Bordeaux	10	2	3	5	-4	9
16	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Caen	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Nantes	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Amiens	11	2	2	7	-13	8
20	Guingamp	11	2	2	7	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.