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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Ath Bilbao
U U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Betis
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
40%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
65%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 6
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 15. · Betis 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 21 15 4 2 +37 49
2 Ath Madrid 21 12 8 1 +19 44
3 Sevilla 21 10 6 5 +14 36
4 Real Madrid 20 11 3 6 +6 36
5 Alaves 20 9 5 6 -1 32
6 Getafe 21 8 7 6 +7 31
7 Valencia 21 6 11 4 +4 29
8 Betis 20 8 5 7 +0 29
9 Sociedad 20 7 5 8 +1 26
10 Eibar 21 6 8 7 -4 26
11 Levante 21 7 5 9 -8 26
12 Valladolid 21 6 7 8 -5 25
13 Girona 21 5 9 7 -5 24
14 Espanol 20 7 3 10 -9 24
15 Ath Bilbao 20 4 11 5 -5 23
16 Leganes 21 5 8 8 -6 23
17 Celta 21 5 6 10 -3 21
18 Vallecano 20 5 5 10 -12 20
19 Villarreal 21 3 9 9 -8 18
20 Huesca 20 2 5 13 -22 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Betis
1–0 Muniain
De Marcos
21′
24′
🟨 Sidnei
Yuri Berchiche 🟨
26′
Mikel San José 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Loren Moron
58′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Barragán
Balenziaga 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
70′
75′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Loren Morón
75′
🔁 A. Guardado
↦ D. Lainez
Ibai Gómez 🔁
↦ Muniain
79′
Yeray Álvarez 🟨
82′
Óscar de Marcos 🟥
84′
Gorka Guruzeta 🔁
↦ Iñaki Williams
86′
Ander Capa 🟨
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
18 De Marcos D
12 Yuri D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
6 San José M
16 Dani García M
11 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 Muniain F
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
24 Balenziaga
19 Ibai Gómez
30 Gorka Guruzeta
3 Unai Núñez
8 Iturraspe
14 Susaeta
25 Unai Simón

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Betis

3-1-4-2
13 Pau López G
19 Barragán M
12 Sidnei D
23 A. Mandi D
4 Z. Feddal D
6 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Lo Celso M
2 Francis Guerrero M
22 D. Lainez M
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (7)
11 Cristian Tello
7 Sergio León
18 A. Guardado
30 Julio Alonso
1 Joel Robles
5 Bartra
34 W. Kaptoum

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.