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Ligue 1

Referee: F Schneider

Caen

T U S U T

0–1

Full-time

Marseille

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

15%

42%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

53%

Average goals

2,4

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 16

6 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 16. · Marseille 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	19	17	2	0	+52	53
2	Lille	21	12	4	5	+13	40
3	St Etienne	20	10	6	4	+8	36
4	Lyon	20	9	7	4	+9	34
5	Strasbourg	21	8	8	5	+12	32
6	Montpellier	20	8	8	4	+10	32
7	Nice	21	8	7	6	-3	31
8	Rennes	21	8	6	7	+2	30
9	Marseille	19	8	4	7	+3	28
10	Reims	21	6	10	5	-3	28
11	Nimes	20	7	5	8	-2	26
12	Bordeaux	19	6	7	6	+0	25
13	Toulouse	21	6	7	8	-10	25
14	Nantes	20	6	5	9	-1	23
15	Angers	19	4	8	7	-3	20
16	Caen	20	3	9	8	-8	18
17	Amiens	21	5	3	13	-18	18
18	Dijon	19	4	5	10	-15	17
19	Monaco	21	3	6	12	-17	15
20	Guingamp	21	3	5	13	-29	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	10	0	0	+34	30
2	St Etienne	10	8	2	0	+14	26
3	Lille	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Lyon	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Marseille	9	5	3	1	+11	18
6	Reims	11	4	5	2	+2	17
7	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+7	16
8	Strasbourg	10	4	4	2	+6	16
9	Bordeaux	10	4	4	2	+3	16
10	Nantes	10	4	3	3	+8	15
11	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Nice	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Nimes	10	3	3	4	+1	12
14	Angers	10	2	4	4	-2	10
15	Caen	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Toulouse	10	2	4	4	-4	10
17	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Dijon	9	2	2	5	-9	8
19	Guingamp	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Monaco	11	0	4	7	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Nice	11	4	5	2	+1	17
3	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+6	16
4	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+3	16
5	Lille	10	5	1	4	+1	16
6	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Toulouse	11	4	3	4	-6	15
8	Nimes	10	4	2	4	-3	14
9	Lyon	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Monaco	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Reims	10	2	5	3	-5	11
12	Angers	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Marseille	10	3	1	6	-8	10
15	Bordeaux	9	2	3	4	-3	9
16	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Caen	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Nantes	10	2	2	6	-9	8
19	Amiens	11	2	2	7	-13	8
20	Guingamp	11	2	2	7	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.