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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Kortrijk
U U U S T
1–2
Full-time
Gent
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 22/14 matches
Win Ø 48%
32%
64%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
55%
79%
Both score Ø 65%
59%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

11 Corners 2
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 9. · Gent 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 23 9 9 5 +8 36
2 Genk 16 10 4 2 +20 34
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +11 34
4 Charleroi 23 10 4 9 +4 34
5 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
6 Club Brugge 16 9 3 4 +16 30
7 Anderlecht 16 9 3 4 +11 30
8 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
9 Kortrijk 22 7 7 8 -3 28
10 Eupen 23 9 1 13 -14 28
11 Cercle Brugge 23 7 5 11 -16 26
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 23 6 5 12 -9 23
13 Waregem 23 6 5 12 -11 23
14 Oostende 23 6 5 12 -18 23
15 Beveren 23 4 10 9 -7 22
16 Lokeren 23 3 5 15 -22 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Gent
4′
Jonathan Christian David 0–1
1–1 Idir Ouali
15′
39′
🟨 Brecht Dejaegere
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 Alexander Sørloth
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
67′
🔁 Giorgi Chakvetadze
↦ Jean-Luc Dompe
67′
🔁 Roman Bezus
↦ Eric Smith
Andriy Batsula 🔁
↦ Idir Ouali
73′
Larry Azouni 🟨
74′
76′
Thibault De Smet 1–2
Jovan Stojanovic 🔁
↦ Felipe Avenatti
77′
Imoh Ezekiel 🔁
↦ Hannes Van Der Bruggen
82′
86′
🟨 Roman Bezus
Gary Kagelmacher 🟨
87′
Kristof D'Haene 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
1 Sebastien Bruzzese G
5 Larry Azouni M
2 Bennard Kumordzi M
4 Gary Kagelmacher D
30 Kristof D'Haene F
14 Hannes Van Der Bruggen M
23 Julien De Sart M
27 Idir Ouali M
20 Felipe Avenatti F
7 Ilombe Mboyo F
9 Teddy Chevalier F
Bench (8)
12 Jarno De Smet
29 Andriy Batsula
72 Petar Golubović
13 Brendan Hines-Ike
15 Christophe Lepoint
21 Charis Charisis
39 Imoh Ezekiel
11 Jovan Stojanovic

Gent

4-3-3
28 Thomas Kaminski G
76 Timothy Derijck D
5 Igor Plastun D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
29 Thibault De Smet D
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
6 Birger Verstraete M
3 Eric Smith M
11 Jean-Luc Dompe F
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
16 Jonathan Christian David F
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
2 Arnaud Souquet
21 Nana Asare
28 Dylan Bronn
10 Roman Bezus
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze
10 Alexander Sørloth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.