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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Angers
U S S S T
2–2
Full-time
Monaco
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 12. · Monaco 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 23 2 1 +64 71
2 Lille 26 15 6 5 +20 51
3 Lyon 26 13 7 6 +10 46
4 St Etienne 26 12 7 7 +5 43
5 Marseille 26 12 5 9 +6 41
6 Reims 26 10 11 5 +3 41
7 Montpellier 26 9 11 6 +6 38
8 Strasbourg 26 9 10 7 +11 37
9 Rennes 26 10 7 9 +1 37
10 Nice 26 10 7 9 -8 37
11 Nimes 26 10 6 10 -1 36
12 Angers 26 8 9 9 +0 33
13 Bordeaux 26 8 8 10 -2 32
14 Nantes 26 8 6 12 -3 30
15 Toulouse 26 6 10 10 -12 28
16 Monaco 26 6 7 13 -15 25
17 Amiens 26 7 3 16 -20 24
18 Caen 27 3 11 13 -14 20
19 Dijon 25 5 5 15 -19 20
20 Guingamp 26 4 6 16 -32 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Monaco
Abdoulaye Bamba 🟨
16′
1–0 F. Tait
22′
2–0 F. Tait
45′
Half-time 2–1
49′
R. Falcao 2–1
A. Golovin
56′
🟨 Kamil Glik
J. Reine-Adélaïde 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
57′
62′
🟨 Benoît Badiashile
66′
🔁 Carlos
↦ Rony Lopes
Vincent Manceau 🟨
69′
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
71′
80′
R. Falcao 2–2
81′
🟨 Radamel Falcao
R. Thomas 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
85′
85′
🔁 N. Chadli
↦ A. Golovin
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
4 M. Pavlović D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 F. Tait M
10 A. Fulgini M
18 B. Santamaría M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde
28 F. El Melali
24 R. Thomas
1 Z. Boucher
2 R. Aït Nouri
27 E. Diaw
9 Cristian López

Coach: S. Moulin

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 D. Subašić G
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
32 B. Badiashile D
44 Fàbregas M
15 Adrien Silva M
7 Rony Lopes M
17 A. Golovin M
2 F. Ballo D
9 R. Falcao F
29 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
11 Carlos
20 N. Chadli
16 D. Benaglio
34 M. Sylla
27 Naldo
4 J. Aholou
39 B. Henrichs

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.