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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Monaco

T U U T T

2–1

Full-time

Toulouse

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 21%

14%

27%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

45%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 19. · Toulouse 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	18	2	0	+55	56
2	Lille	23	14	4	5	+18	46
3	Lyon	22	11	7	4	+11	40
4	St Etienne	22	10	7	5	+7	37
5	Strasbourg	22	9	8	5	+13	35
6	Montpellier	21	9	8	4	+12	35
7	Nice	23	9	7	7	-5	34
8	Marseille	21	9	4	8	+3	31
9	Reims	22	7	10	5	-2	31
10	Rennes	22	8	6	8	-1	30
11	Nimes	22	8	5	9	-2	29
12	Bordeaux	21	7	7	7	+0	28
13	Toulouse	22	6	8	8	-10	26
14	Nantes	22	6	6	10	-2	24
15	Angers	22	5	9	8	-4	24
16	Dijon	21	5	5	11	-14	20
17	Caen	22	3	9	10	-11	18
18	Amiens	22	5	3	14	-19	18
19	Monaco	22	3	6	13	-19	15
20	Guingamp	22	3	5	14	-30	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	11	0	0	+37	33
2	Lille	12	8	3	1	+16	27
3	St Etienne	11	8	2	1	+13	26
4	Lyon	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Montpellier	11	5	4	2	+9	19
6	Strasbourg	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Bordeaux	11	5	4	2	+4	19
8	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+10	18
9	Reims	11	4	5	2	+2	17
10	Nice	11	5	2	4	-2	17
11	Nantes	11	4	4	3	+8	16
12	Nimes	11	4	3	4	+3	15
13	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+2	15
14	Angers	11	3	4	4	-1	13
15	Toulouse	11	2	5	4	-4	11
16	Dijon	10	3	2	5	-7	11
17	Caen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Amiens	11	3	1	7	-6	10
19	Guingamp	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Monaco	11	0	4	7	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Lyon	11	5	4	2	+2	19
3	Lille	11	6	1	4	+2	19
4	Nice	12	4	5	3	-3	17
5	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+6	16
6	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
8	Toulouse	11	4	3	4	-6	15
9	Reims	11	3	5	3	-4	14
10	Nimes	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Marseille	11	4	1	6	-7	13
12	Angers	11	2	5	4	-3	11
13	Monaco	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	St Etienne	11	2	5	4	-6	11
15	Bordeaux	10	2	3	5	-4	9
16	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Caen	11	1	5	5	-7	8
18	Nantes	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Amiens	11	2	2	7	-13	8
20	Guingamp	11	2	2	7	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.