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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Caen

T T T U U

1–2

Full-time

Paris SG

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

3,2

Scored

0,2

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 26/25 matches

Win Ø 50%

12%

88%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

38%

76%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

2,1

3,6

Scored

0,8

3,1

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%

7 Shots 25

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 18. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	22	2	1	+63	68
2	Lille	26	15	6	5	+20	51
3	Lyon	26	13	7	6	+10	46
4	St Etienne	26	12	7	7	+5	43
5	Marseille	26	12	5	9	+6	41
6	Reims	26	10	11	5	+3	41
7	Montpellier	26	9	11	6	+6	38
8	Strasbourg	26	9	10	7	+11	37
9	Rennes	26	10	7	9	+1	37
10	Nice	26	10	7	9	-8	37
11	Nimes	26	10	6	10	-1	36
12	Angers	26	8	9	9	+0	33
13	Bordeaux	26	8	8	10	-2	32
14	Nantes	26	8	6	12	-3	30
15	Toulouse	26	6	10	10	-12	28
16	Monaco	26	6	7	13	-15	25
17	Amiens	26	7	3	16	-20	24
18	Caen	26	3	11	12	-13	20
19	Dijon	25	5	5	15	-19	20
20	Guingamp	26	4	6	16	-32	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	14	0	0	+45	42
2	St Etienne	13	9	2	2	+13	29
3	Lille	13	8	4	1	+16	28
4	Lyon	13	8	3	2	+11	27
5	Marseille	12	7	3	2	+13	24
6	Bordeaux	13	6	5	2	+5	23
7	Reims	13	6	5	2	+5	23
8	Rennes	13	6	4	3	+6	22
9	Montpellier	13	5	5	3	+7	20
10	Strasbourg	13	5	5	3	+6	20
11	Nice	12	6	2	4	-1	20
12	Nantes	13	5	4	4	+7	19
13	Nimes	13	5	4	4	+5	19
14	Angers	13	5	4	4	+3	19
15	Amiens	13	5	1	7	-4	16
16	Toulouse	13	2	7	4	-4	13
17	Monaco	14	3	4	7	-10	13
18	Caen	13	2	5	6	-5	11
19	Dijon	12	3	2	7	-9	11
20	Guingamp	13	2	3	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	8	2	1	+18	26
2	Lille	13	7	2	4	+4	23
3	Lyon	13	5	4	4	-1	19
4	Montpellier	13	4	6	3	-1	18
5	Reims	13	4	6	3	-2	18
6	Strasbourg	13	4	5	4	+5	17
7	Nimes	13	5	2	6	-6	17
8	Marseille	14	5	2	7	-7	17
9	Nice	14	4	5	5	-7	17
10	Rennes	13	4	3	6	-5	15
11	Toulouse	13	4	3	6	-8	15
12	Angers	13	3	5	5	-3	14
13	St Etienne	13	3	5	5	-8	14
14	Monaco	12	3	3	6	-5	12
15	Nantes	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Bordeaux	13	2	3	8	-7	9
17	Caen	13	1	6	6	-8	9
18	Dijon	13	2	3	8	-10	9
19	Guingamp	13	2	3	8	-22	9
20	Amiens	13	2	2	9	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.