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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Malheiro Pinto
Moreirense
S S U S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Vitoria Setubal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 40%
57%
22%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
35%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
20 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Moreirense 5. · Vitoria Setubal 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 23 18 3 2 +35 57
2 Benfica 23 18 2 3 +44 56
3 Sp Braga 23 15 4 4 +17 49
4 Sp Lisbon 23 14 4 5 +19 46
5 Moreirense 23 13 2 8 +2 41
6 Guimaraes 23 10 6 7 +6 36
7 Belenenses 23 8 9 6 +2 33
8 Santa Clara 23 9 3 11 +0 30
9 Rio Ave 23 7 7 9 -2 28
10 Portimonense 23 8 4 11 -7 28
11 Boavista 24 7 5 12 -11 26
12 Nacional 24 7 5 12 -22 26
13 Aves 24 7 4 13 -12 25
14 Maritimo 23 7 3 13 -12 24
15 Vitoria Setubal 23 5 8 10 -6 23
16 Tondela 24 6 5 13 -11 23
17 Chaves 23 5 4 14 -18 19
18 Feirense 23 2 8 13 -24 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moreirense Vitoria Setubal
17′
J. Cádiz 0–1
Mano
19′
🟨 Silvio
0–2 Sílvio
own goal
35′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 Éber
↦ Tiago Castro
55′
🔁 Valdu Té
↦ Frédéric Mendy
66′
🟨 Éber Bessa
Neto 🟨
72′
Nenê 🔁
↦ D. Texeira
75′
B. Aouacheria 🔁
↦ Heriberto Tavares
81′
Rafik Halliche 🟥
83′
Pedro Nuno 🔁
↦ Arsénio
88′
Pedro Nuno 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jhonder Cadiz
90′
🟨 Giorgi Makaridze
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Moreirense

4-4-2
18 Jhonatan G
23 R. Halliche D
2 João Aurélio D
37 Bruno Silva D
14 Ivanildo Fernandes D
6 Fabio Pacheco M
91 Neto M
22 Chiquinho M
73 Heriberto Tavares M
9 D. Texeira F
77 Arsénio M
Bench (7)
11 Nenê
10 B. Aouacheria
27 Pedro Nuno
7 I. Camará
82 A. D'Alberto
88 Pedro Trigueira
21 P. Rodríguez

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Vitoria Setubal

4-4-1-1
90 G. Makaridze G
5 Mano D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
17 Sílvio D
4 Artur Jorge D
29 Semedo M
8 Nuno Valente M
20 Hildeberto Pereira D
47 Tiago Castro
23 Frédéric Mendy F
99 J. Cádiz F
Bench (7)
10 Éber
45 Valdu Té
26 K. Sekgota
16 André Sousa
40 Baba Fernandes
1 Cristiano
87 Zequinha

Coach: Sandro Mendes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.