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Premier League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
West Ham
T U U S T
2–0
Full-time
Newcastle
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
This season — Premier League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
46%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 10. · Newcastle 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 29 23 2 4 +56 71
2 Liverpool 28 21 6 1 +49 69
3 Tottenham 29 20 1 8 +26 61
4 Man United 29 17 7 5 +20 58
5 Arsenal 29 17 6 6 +22 57
6 Chelsea 27 16 5 6 +18 53
7 Wolves 29 12 7 10 +2 43
8 Watford 28 11 7 10 -1 40
9 Everton 28 10 6 12 +0 36
10 West Ham 28 10 6 12 -6 36
11 Leicester 28 10 5 13 -5 35
12 Bournemouth 29 10 4 15 -15 34
13 Crystal Palace 29 9 6 14 -4 33
14 Newcastle 28 8 7 13 -8 31
15 Brighton 28 8 6 14 -11 30
16 Burnley 29 8 6 15 -21 30
17 Southampton 29 6 9 14 -17 27
18 Cardiff 29 7 4 18 -32 25
19 Fulham 28 4 5 19 -37 17
20 Huddersfield 29 3 5 21 -36 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Newcastle
1–0 D. Rice
R. Snodgrass
7′
Mark Noble 🟨
26′
A. Masuaku 🔁
↦ A. Cresswell
34′
37′
🟨 Fabian Schär
40′
🟨 Sean Longstaff
2–0 M. Noble
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Diamé
↦ S. Longstaff
65′
🔁 P. Dummett
↦ F. Schär
Arthur Masuaku 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Isaac Hayden
M. Arnautović 🔁
↦ J. Hernández
70′
Pedro Obiang 🔁
↦ M. Noble
79′
79′
🔁 C. Atsu
↦ I. Hayden
85′
🟨 Martin Dúbravka
Issa Diop 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

West Ham

4-1-4-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
21 A. Ogbonna D
3 A. Cresswell D
24 R. Fredericks D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
11 R. Snodgrass M
10 M. Lanzini M
8 Felipe Anderson M
41 D. Rice M
17 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
26 A. Masuaku
7 M. Arnautović
14 Pedro Obiang
13 Adrián
27 Lucas Pérez
30 M. Antonio
18 S. Nasri

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Newcastle

5-4-1
12 M. Dúbravka G
5 F. Schär D
20 F. Lejeune D
6 J. Lascelles D
19 Javi Manquillo D
11 M. Ritchie D
14 I. Hayden M
24 M. Almirón M
36 S. Longstaff M
9 S. Rondón F
17 Ayoze Pérez M
Bench (7)
10 M. Diamé
3 P. Dummett
30 C. Atsu
26 K. Darlow
4 Ki Sung-Yeung
13 Y. Muto
22 D. Yedlin

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.