Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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West Ham
Newcastle
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +56 | 71 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | +49 | 69 |
| 3 |
Tottenham
|
29 | 20 | 1 | 8 | +26 | 61 |
| 4 |
Man United
|
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +20 | 58 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | +22 | 57 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 7 |
Wolves
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +2 | 43 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 |
Everton
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +0 | 36 |
| 10 |
West Ham
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 11 |
Leicester
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | -15 | 34 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 |
Newcastle
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 |
Brighton
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 |
Burnley
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -21 | 30 |
| 17 |
Southampton
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -17 | 27 |
| 18 |
Cardiff
|
29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -32 | 25 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | -37 | 17 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | -36 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Diop
D
D. Rice
M
Coach: M. Pellegrini
M. Dúbravka
G
F. Schär
D
F. Lejeune
D
S. Longstaff
M
Ayoze Pérez
M
Coach: Rafael Benítez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Man City
West Ham
West Ham
Fulham
Crystal Palace
West Ham
West Ham
Liverpool
Wolves
West Ham
Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.