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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
PSV Eindhoven
U S U
3–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
20 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 9. · Feyenoord 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Heracles 4 3 0 1 +8 9
3 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Roda 4 3 0 1 +1 9
5 Zwolle 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Vitesse 4 2 1 1 +4 7
7 Heerenveen 4 1 3 0 +2 6
8 Nijmegen 4 2 0 2 -3 6
9 PSV Eindhoven 3 1 2 0 +2 5
10 Utrecht 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Den Haag 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Excelsior 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Groningen 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 2 2 -4 2
15 Willem II 4 0 2 2 -4 2
16 Twente 4 0 1 3 -6 1
17 Cambuur 4 0 1 3 -10 1
18 De Graafschap 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord
4′
⚽ J. Bruma 1–0
own goal
Santiago Arias 🟨
21′
2–0 M. Lestienne ⚽
D. Pröpper
37′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 S. Arias ⚽
L. Narsingh
50′
60′
🔁 R. Karsdorp
↦ Eric Botteghin
J. Hendrix 🔁
↦ A. Maher
64′
68′
🔁 E. Elia
↦ L. Immers
J. Locadia 🔁
↦ L. Narsingh
77′
80′
🟨 Eljero Elia
4–0 J. Locadia ⚽
81′
82′
🔁 M. Kramer
↦ C. Kazim-Richards
Jorrit Hendrix 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Karim El Ahmadi
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ M. Lestienne
86′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

1 J. Zoet G
4 S. Arias D
5 J. Bruma D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
18 A. Guardado M
6 D. Pröpper M
10 A. Maher M
9 L. de Jong F
11 L. Narsingh M
16 M. Lestienne M
Bench (6)
29 J. Hendrix
19 J. Locadia
7 G. Pereiro
3 H. Moreno
8 S. Schaars
22 R. Pasveer

Feyenoord

1 K. Vermeer G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
4 T. Kongolo D
3 S. van Beek D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
10 L. Immers M
5 M. Vejinovic M
7 D. Kuijt M
9 C. Kazim-Richards F
14 B. Basaçikoglu M
Bench (7)
2 R. Karsdorp
11 E. Elia
31 M. Kramer
16 W. Hahn
18 M. Nelom
21 T. Vilhena
28 J. Toornstra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.