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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Heerenveen
U T T U T
2–5
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
13%
75%
Points per game
0,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
25%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–5

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 14. · Feyenoord 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +17 22
2 Feyenoord 8 6 1 1 +7 19
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 5 3 1 +11 18
4 Heracles 9 6 0 3 +8 18
5 Zwolle 8 5 2 1 +7 17
6 Vitesse 8 4 2 2 +11 14
7 Roda 9 3 4 2 +0 13
8 Nijmegen 9 4 1 4 +0 13
9 Groningen 9 4 1 4 -4 13
10 AZ Alkmaar 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Utrecht 9 2 4 3 -1 10
12 Excelsior 9 2 3 4 -4 9
13 Twente 9 2 3 4 -6 9
14 Heerenveen 8 1 4 3 -4 7
15 Willem II 9 1 3 5 -5 6
16 Den Haag 8 1 3 4 -6 6
17 Cambuur 9 0 5 4 -16 5
18 De Graafschap 8 0 1 7 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Feyenoord
7′
⚽ D. Kuijt 0–1
Simon Gustafson
16′
⚽ M. Kramer 0–2
Simon Gustafson
28′
⚽ Simon Gustafson 0–3
M. Kramer
32′
⚽ D. Kuijt 0–4
E. Elia
39′
⚽ D. Kuijt 0–5
Simon Gustafson
Jeremiah St. Juste 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–5
K. Otigba 🔁
↦ J. St. Juste
46′
S. Marzo 🔁
↦ B. van den Boomen
46′
Joey Van den Berg 🟨
48′
1–5 H. Veerman ⚽
S. Larsson
59′
60′
🔁 C. Kazim-Richards
↦ M. Kramer
Henk Veerman 🟨
62′
C. Cavlan 🔁
↦ J. Buijs
62′
Stefano Marzo 🟨
65′
72′
🔁 Eric Botteghin
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
2–5 H. Veerman ⚽
81′
83′
🔁 J. Toornstra
↦ Simon Gustafson
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Heerenveen

1 E. Mulder G
23 J. Buijs D
2 P. van Anholt D
5 L. Bijker D
16 J. St. Juste D
21 J. van den Berg
10 S. Thern M
17 B. van den Boomen M
11 S. Larsson F
7 L. Slagveer F
20 H. Veerman F
Bench (7)
3 K. Otigba
6 S. Marzo
22 C. Cavlan
8 M. Thorsby
15 L. Zahovič
33 M. de Fockert
36 T. Kada

Feyenoord

1 K. Vermeer G
6 J. van der Heijden D
4 T. Kongolo D
3 S. van Beek D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
5 M. Vejinovic M
26 B. Nieuwkoop D
27 Simon Gustafson M
7 D. Kuijt M
11 E. Elia M
31 M. Kramer F
Bench (7)
9 C. Kazim-Richards
33 Eric Botteghin
28 J. Toornstra
14 B. Basaçikoglu
16 W. Hahn
18 M. Nelom
21 T. Vilhena

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.