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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Liesveld

Vitesse

T S U S S

1–3

Full-time

Ajax

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

3,0

2,2

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 67%

56%

78%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 33%

44%

22%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,4

2,3

Conceded

0,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 5. · Ajax 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+17	22
2	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+10	22
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+13	21
4	Heracles	10	7	0	3	+9	21
5	Vitesse	9	5	2	2	+15	17
6	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
7	Nijmegen	9	4	1	4	+0	13
8	Roda	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Groningen	9	4	1	4	-4	13
10	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-3	12
12	Utrecht	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Twente	10	2	3	5	-8	9
14	Den Haag	10	1	5	4	-6	8
15	Heerenveen	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Willem II	10	1	4	5	-5	7
17	Cambuur	10	0	6	4	-16	6
18	De Graafschap	10	0	2	8	-16	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groningen	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Vitesse	4	4	0	0	+14	12
3	Heracles	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+6	12
5	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Zwolle	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
8	Nijmegen	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Utrecht	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Roda	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Excelsior	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Twente	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Den Haag	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Cambuur	6	0	3	3	-13	3
18	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	3	2	1	+8	11
3	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Heracles	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+1	5
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Excelsior	6	1	2	3	-5	5
9	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Nijmegen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Cambuur	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Twente	5	0	2	3	-5	2
14	Willem II	5	0	2	3	-5	2
15	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-6	2
16	Utrecht	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Groningen	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.