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Pro League
Charleroi
U T U U S
2–3
Full-time
Standard
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
4,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,2
This season — Pro League · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 23%
33%
13%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
33%
88%
Both score Ø 61%
33%
88%
Average goals
1,7
3,9
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
0,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 12. · Standard 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
4 Gent 7 4 3 0 +7 15
5 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
6 St Truiden 9 4 1 4 +3 13
7 Waregem 7 4 0 3 +1 12
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 3 3 6 -5 12
9 Beveren 9 4 0 5 -6 12
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 3 2 4 +0 11
11 Westerlo 12 2 4 6 -9 10
12 Charleroi 6 2 3 1 +2 9
13 Mechelen 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Kortrijk 7 1 4 2 -1 7
15 Lokeren 10 2 1 7 -7 7
16 Standard 8 1 1 6 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Standard
25′
D. Arslanagic 0–1
M. Dossevi
D. Dessoleil 🔁
↦ S. Willems
29′
1–1 J. Perbet
36′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 A. Baby
E. Sağlık
59′
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ D. Pollet
65′
71′
🔁 R. Emond
↦ M. Yattara
78′
🔁 I. Santini
↦ B. Badibanga
82′
🔁 J. De Sart
↦ S. Yatabaré
C. Diandy 🔁
↦ E. Sağlık
83′
85′
J. Van Damme 2–2
M. Dossevi
89′
R. Emond 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
3 S. Willems
23 K. Geraerts
18 A. Baby
28 E. Sağlık
88 D. N'Dongala
21 J. Perbet
10 D. Pollet
Bench (7)
24 D. Dessoleil
7 C. Tainmont
13 C. Diandy
9 F. Stevance
19 Clinton Mata
35 P. Mandanda
5 B. Boulenger

Standard

28 G. Hubert
37 J. Van Damme
2 R. Goreux
5 Jorge Teixeira
36 D. Arslanagic
17 M. Dossevi
60 S. Yatabaré
23 A. Trebel
12 B. Badibanga
7 A. Knockaert
10 M. Yattara
Bench (7)
9 R. Emond
18 I. Santini
15 J. De Sart
6 M. Milec
24 C. Fiore
30 J. Legear
22 A. Lejoly

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.