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Eredivisie

Referee: Bas Nijhuis

AZ Alkmaar

U S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Vitesse

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

67%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 7. · Vitesse 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	21	15	5	1	+31	50
2	Ajax	21	15	4	2	+36	49
3	Feyenoord	21	11	3	7	+12	36
4	Nijmegen	21	10	4	7	+4	34
5	Vitesse	21	9	6	6	+19	33
6	Heracles	19	9	5	5	+4	32
7	AZ Alkmaar	21	9	4	8	+3	31
8	Groningen	20	8	7	5	-1	31
9	Zwolle	19	8	5	6	+5	29
10	Heerenveen	21	8	5	8	-6	29
11	Den Haag	22	6	9	7	-1	27
12	Roda	22	5	9	8	-15	24
13	Utrecht	18	6	5	7	+0	23
14	Willem II	22	4	9	9	-4	21
15	Excelsior	22	4	7	11	-16	19
16	Twente	21	5	4	12	-21	19
17	Cambuur	21	2	7	12	-27	13
18	De Graafschap	21	3	2	16	-23	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Nijmegen	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+23	25
4	Feyenoord	11	7	1	3	+11	22
5	Groningen	10	6	3	1	+7	21
6	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+14	20
7	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+8	20
8	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
10	Zwolle	10	5	2	3	+1	17
11	Twente	10	5	1	4	-1	16
12	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
13	Roda	12	3	6	3	-3	15
14	Willem II	11	3	5	3	+3	14
15	Den Haag	11	2	7	2	+0	13
16	Excelsior	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	De Graafschap	10	2	1	7	-8	7
18	Cambuur	11	1	4	6	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+16	24
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Feyenoord	10	4	2	4	+1	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	2	4	+0	14
5	Den Haag	11	4	2	5	-1	14
6	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+5	13
7	Zwolle	9	3	3	3	+4	12
8	Heracles	10	3	3	4	-4	12
9	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-9	11
10	Excelsior	11	2	4	5	-7	10
11	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-8	10
12	Roda	10	2	3	5	-12	9
13	Nijmegen	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Utrecht	11	2	2	7	-6	8
15	Willem II	11	1	4	6	-7	7
16	Cambuur	10	1	3	6	-12	6
17	De Graafschap	11	1	1	9	-15	4
18	Twente	11	0	3	8	-20	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.