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Eredivisie

Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer

Sparta Rotterdam

T U U T U

3–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 44%

27%

60%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

45%

80%

Both score Ø 58%

55%

60%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

32% Possession 68%

13 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 8. · Heerenveen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Heerenveen	10	6	3	1	+13	21
5	Twente	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	4	1	+6	16
7	Vitesse	11	4	3	4	+2	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	11	3	4	4	-1	13
9	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Zwolle	11	3	3	5	-9	12
11	Den Haag	11	3	2	6	-7	11
12	Nijmegen	11	2	5	4	-7	11
13	Excelsior	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Willem II	11	2	4	5	-8	10
15	Heracles	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Go Ahead Eagles	11	2	2	7	-11	8
17	Roda	11	1	5	5	-11	8
18	Groningen	10	1	3	6	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+12	14
2	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Twente	6	3	2	1	+5	11
4	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	PSV Eindhoven	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Go Ahead Eagles	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Vitesse	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
12	Excelsior	6	2	0	4	-2	6
13	Nijmegen	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Roda	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Groningen	5	0	2	3	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	+13	16
2	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Heerenveen	6	3	2	1	+8	11
5	Vitesse	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-4	7
9	Roda	6	1	3	2	-6	6
10	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	-2	5
12	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Nijmegen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	+0	4
16	Heracles	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Go Ahead Eagles	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.