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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

Heerenveen

S S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Heracles

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 37%

63%

11%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

75%

22%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

2,1

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 4. · Heracles 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	10	9	1	0	+22	28
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+14	23
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Heerenveen	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Twente	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Vitesse	10	4	3	3	+4	15
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	4	1	+5	13
8	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Utrecht	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Den Haag	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Excelsior	10	3	1	6	-7	10
12	Nijmegen	10	2	4	4	-7	10
13	Zwolle	10	2	3	5	-11	9
14	Heracles	9	1	5	3	-3	8
15	Go Ahead Eagles	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Willem II	10	1	4	5	-9	7
17	Roda	10	1	4	5	-11	7
18	Groningen	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Twente	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	PSV Eindhoven	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Go Ahead Eagles	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Utrecht	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Excelsior	6	2	0	4	-2	6
12	Nijmegen	6	1	3	2	-4	6
13	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Den Haag	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Roda	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Willem II	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Groningen	5	0	2	3	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+8	10
5	Vitesse	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-4	7
8	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Zwolle	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Roda	5	1	2	2	-6	5
12	Groningen	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Heracles	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Go Ahead Eagles	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.