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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Heerenveen

T S S S S

1–1

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 69%

67%

71%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

83%

57%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

7 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 4. · PSV Eindhoven 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	7	7	0	0	+19	21
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Heerenveen	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Twente	7	4	0	3	+2	12
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Excelsior	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Heracles	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-5	6
13	Willem II	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	Nijmegen	7	1	3	3	-7	6
15	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Go Ahead Eagles	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-13	5
18	Roda	7	0	3	4	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Twente	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-8	4
14	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Groningen	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Roda	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-4	6
7	Groningen	4	1	1	2	+1	4
8	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Heracles	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Twente	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Utrecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Roda	4	0	2	2	-7	2
16	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.