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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Sparta Rotterdam

S T S T T

2–3

Full-time

Excelsior

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 21%

24%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 62%

55%

69%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 9

14 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 13. · Excelsior 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	29	23	3	3	+58	72
2	Ajax	29	21	6	2	+43	69
3	PSV Eindhoven	29	19	8	2	+36	65
4	Utrecht	26	13	7	6	+12	46
5	Vitesse	29	13	6	10	+10	45
6	Twente	29	11	9	9	+2	42
7	Heerenveen	27	11	6	10	+10	39
8	AZ Alkmaar	26	9	11	6	+5	38
9	Heracles	29	9	7	13	-7	34
10	Willem II	29	8	9	12	-8	33
11	Zwolle	29	8	7	14	-21	31
12	Groningen	27	6	11	10	-4	29
13	Sparta Rotterdam	29	7	7	15	-18	28
14	Nijmegen	29	7	7	15	-22	28
15	Den Haag	29	8	4	17	-23	28
16	Roda	29	5	11	13	-24	26
17	Excelsior	29	5	10	14	-20	25
18	Go Ahead Eagles	29	6	5	18	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	13	2	0	+41	41
2	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+28	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+17	33
4	Heerenveen	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Twente	15	7	4	4	+5	25
6	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+8	24
7	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+7	23
8	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+6	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	13	4	7	2	+6	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-1	19
12	Excelsior	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Den Haag	14	5	2	7	-3	17
14	Roda	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Willem II	15	4	5	6	-5	17
16	Groningen	14	3	7	4	-5	16
17	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-9	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	9	5	1	+19	32
2	Feyenoord	14	10	1	3	+17	31
3	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Vitesse	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	4	4	-1	19
7	Twente	14	4	5	5	-3	17
8	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
9	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-12	15
10	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
11	Groningen	13	3	4	6	+1	13
12	Den Haag	15	3	2	10	-20	11
13	Heracles	14	2	4	8	-15	10
14	Go Ahead Eagles	15	2	4	9	-20	10
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	3	10	-19	9
16	Roda	14	1	6	7	-20	9
17	Nijmegen	15	2	3	10	-21	9
18	Excelsior	14	1	5	8	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.