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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
1–0
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,8
This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 52%
21%
83%
Points per game
0,9
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
4 Shots 23
1 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 10
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 13
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 14. · Feyenoord 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 24 20 3 1 +48 63
2 Ajax 24 18 4 2 +36 58
3 PSV Eindhoven 25 16 7 2 +31 55
4 Twente 25 10 8 7 +3 38
5 Heerenveen 23 10 6 7 +14 36
6 Utrecht 21 10 6 5 +6 36
7 Vitesse 25 10 6 9 +4 36
8 AZ Alkmaar 22 8 10 4 +7 34
9 Willem II 25 7 8 10 -7 29
10 Heracles 24 7 7 10 -6 28
11 Zwolle 25 7 6 12 -20 27
12 Nijmegen 24 6 7 11 -17 25
13 Groningen 23 5 9 9 -4 24
14 Sparta Rotterdam 24 5 7 12 -11 22
15 Go Ahead Eagles 25 5 5 15 -18 20
16 Roda 25 3 11 11 -21 20
17 Excelsior 24 4 7 13 -21 19
18 Den Haag 24 5 3 16 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord
1–0 M. Pogba
Jerson Cabral
1′
28′
🔁 M. Nelom
↦ T. Kongolo
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 B. Basaçikoglu
↦ E. Elia
63′
🟨 Rick Karsdorp
F. Pinteaux 🔁
↦ C. Goodwin
68′
68′
🔁 D. Kuijt
↦ S. Berghuis
Denzel Dumfries 🟨
71′
M. Pusic 🔁
↦ M. Pogba
72′
Roy Kortsmit 🟨
73′
R. Bergkamp 🔁
↦ Jerson Cabral
78′
88′
🟨 Karim El Ahmadi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
8 M. Dijkstra M
2 D. Dumfries D
3 S. Floranus D
6 R. van Drongelen D
10 P. van Moorsel M
7 Jerson Cabral F
4 R. Sanusi M
9 M. Pogba F
11 C. Goodwin M
Bench (12)
14 F. Pinteaux
19 M. Pusic
23 R. Bergkamp
22 L. Brogno
18 Z. El Azzouzi
17 S. Spierings
16 Iván Calero
20 M. Verrips
12 J. Saksela
21 T. Verhaar
13 R. Ketting
15 K. Dougall

Coach: A. Pastoor

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
4 T. Kongolo D
2 R. Karsdorp D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
11 E. Elia M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
Bench (12)
18 M. Nelom
14 B. Basaçikoglu
7 D. Kuijt
1 K. Vermeer
15 L. Woudenberg
20 R. Tapia
26 B. Nieuwkoop
27 Simon Gustafson
29 M. Kramer
30 P. Hansson
31 W. Dammers
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.