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Eredivisie

Referee: Paulus van Boekel

Nijmegen

T T T T T

3–1

Full-time

Heracles

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 27%

25%

29%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

46%

58%

Both score Ø 57%

46%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 14. · Heracles 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	25	20	3	2	+47	63
2	Ajax	25	18	5	2	+36	59
3	PSV Eindhoven	25	16	7	2	+31	55
4	Twente	25	10	8	7	+3	38
5	Utrecht	22	10	7	5	+6	37
6	Heerenveen	23	10	6	7	+14	36
7	Vitesse	25	10	6	9	+4	36
8	AZ Alkmaar	23	8	11	4	+7	35
9	Willem II	25	7	8	10	-7	29
10	Heracles	24	7	7	10	-6	28
11	Zwolle	25	7	6	12	-20	27
12	Groningen	24	5	10	9	-4	25
13	Sparta Rotterdam	25	6	7	12	-10	25
14	Nijmegen	24	6	7	11	-17	25
15	Go Ahead Eagles	25	5	5	15	-18	20
16	Excelsior	25	4	8	13	-21	20
17	Roda	25	3	11	11	-21	20
18	Den Haag	25	5	4	16	-24	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	13	11	2	0	+30	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+16	30
3	Ajax	12	9	2	1	+21	29
4	Twente	13	7	3	3	+6	24
5	Heerenveen	12	6	4	2	+9	22
6	Heracles	12	5	3	4	+5	18
7	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	+1	17
9	AZ Alkmaar	12	3	7	2	+2	16
10	Sparta Rotterdam	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Nijmegen	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Zwolle	13	4	3	6	-9	15
13	Willem II	13	3	5	5	-6	14
14	Excelsior	12	3	4	5	-3	13
15	Go Ahead Eagles	12	4	1	7	-5	13
16	Groningen	12	2	6	4	-7	12
17	Roda	12	2	5	5	-4	11
18	Den Haag	12	3	2	7	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+15	30
2	Feyenoord	12	9	1	2	+17	28
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	7	4	1	+15	25
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	4	2	+5	19
5	Vitesse	13	5	4	4	+3	19
6	Utrecht	11	5	4	2	+2	19
7	Willem II	12	4	3	5	-1	15
8	Heerenveen	11	4	2	5	+5	14
9	Twente	12	3	5	4	-3	14
10	Groningen	12	3	4	5	+3	13
11	Zwolle	12	3	3	6	-11	12
12	Heracles	12	2	4	6	-11	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	13	2	3	8	-11	9
14	Nijmegen	12	2	3	7	-17	9
15	Roda	13	1	6	6	-17	9
16	Den Haag	13	2	2	9	-17	8
17	Go Ahead Eagles	13	1	4	8	-13	7
18	Excelsior	13	1	4	8	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.