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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Juventus

S U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Chievo

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Chievo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 59%

80%

37%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

53%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

53%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

17 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 1. · Chievo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	30	24	2	4	+40	74
2	Roma	30	22	2	6	+40	68
3	Napoli	30	19	7	4	+36	64
4	Lazio	30	18	6	6	+21	60
5	Atalanta	31	18	5	8	+18	59
6	Inter	30	17	4	9	+23	55
7	Milan	30	16	6	8	+10	54
8	Fiorentina	30	14	9	7	+10	51
9	Sampdoria	30	12	8	10	+2	44
10	Torino	30	10	11	9	+6	41
11	Chievo	30	11	5	14	-8	38
12	Udinese	30	10	7	13	-2	37
13	Cagliari	30	10	5	15	-20	35
14	Bologna	30	9	7	14	-14	34
15	Sassuolo	31	9	5	17	-11	32
16	Genoa	30	7	8	15	-18	29
17	Empoli	31	5	8	18	-31	23
18	Crotone	30	4	5	21	-27	17
19	Palermo	30	3	6	21	-38	15
20	Pescara	31	2	8	21	-37	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	15	0	0	+30	45
2	Roma	15	14	0	1	+31	42
3	Napoli	16	10	4	2	+17	34
4	Inter	15	10	2	3	+21	32
5	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+14	32
6	Atalanta	15	10	2	3	+11	32
7	Milan	15	10	2	3	+9	32
8	Fiorentina	15	8	7	0	+10	31
9	Torino	15	8	6	1	+15	30
10	Sampdoria	15	8	4	3	+8	28
11	Cagliari	14	7	3	4	-2	24
12	Chievo	16	6	4	6	-1	22
13	Udinese	15	6	3	6	+3	21
14	Bologna	15	6	2	7	-3	20
15	Genoa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
16	Sassuolo	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Empoli	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Crotone	15	3	3	9	-8	12
19	Pescara	15	1	5	9	-15	8
20	Palermo	15	1	2	12	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+19	30
2	Juventus	15	9	2	4	+10	29
3	Lazio	15	8	4	3	+7	28
4	Atalanta	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Roma	15	8	2	5	+9	26
6	Inter	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Milan	15	6	4	5	+1	22
8	Fiorentina	15	6	2	7	+0	20
9	Sassuolo	16	4	4	8	-5	16
10	Udinese	15	4	4	7	-5	16
11	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-6	16
12	Chievo	14	5	1	8	-7	16
13	Bologna	15	3	5	7	-11	14
14	Torino	15	2	5	8	-9	11
15	Genoa	15	3	2	10	-17	11
16	Cagliari	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Palermo	15	2	4	9	-17	10
18	Empoli	15	1	4	10	-19	7
19	Pescara	16	1	3	12	-22	6
20	Crotone	15	1	2	12	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.