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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Twente
T T T T U
2–3
Full-time
Den Haag
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
38%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
71%
54%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 17. · Den Haag 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 13 0 1 +27 39
2 AZ Alkmaar 15 11 1 3 +14 34
3 Ajax 14 9 2 3 +29 29
4 Zwolle 15 8 5 2 +8 29
5 Feyenoord 14 7 4 3 +10 25
6 Utrecht 12 6 2 4 -2 20
7 Heerenveen 14 5 4 5 -2 19
8 Vitesse 12 5 3 4 +7 18
9 Heracles 15 5 3 7 -10 18
10 Den Haag 13 5 2 6 -4 17
11 Excelsior 15 5 2 8 -6 17
12 VVV Venlo 15 3 7 5 -6 16
13 Groningen 14 4 3 7 -2 15
14 Willem II 15 4 3 8 -10 15
15 NAC Breda 15 3 4 8 -15 13
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 5 7 -12 11
17 Twente 14 3 1 10 -9 10
18 Roda 14 3 1 10 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Den Haag
1–0 D. Holla
T. Boere
12′
17′
A. El Khayati 1–1
E. Hooi
21′
B. Johnsen 1–2
A. El Khayati
1–3 B. Johnsen
own goal
35′
Half-time 1–3
68′
🟨 Lex Immers
70′
🔁 D. Gorter
↦ W. Kanon
Cristian Cuevas 🟨
79′
84′
🟨 Sheraldo Becker
L. Slagveer 🔁
↦ O. Assaidi
85′
87′
🔁 E. Falkenburg
↦ B. Johnsen
Tom Boere 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Abdenasser El Khayati
90′
A. El Khayati 1–4
92′
🔁 T. Goppel
↦ E. Hooi
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Twente

5-3-2
26 J. Brondeel G
4 J. Hooiveld D
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
21 D. Holla M
18 M. Liendl M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (7)
27 L. Slagveer
6 D. Trajkovski
11 A. Laukart
14 R. Jensen
16 J. Drommel
17 M. Kvasina
28 J. van der Lely

Coach: G. Verbeek

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
3 T. Meißner D
5 W. Kanon D
2 T. Ebuehi D
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
77 E. Hooi F
7 S. Becker F
9 B. Johnsen F
Bench (10)
6 D. Gorter
30 E. Falkenburg
26 T. Goppel
1 I. Groothuizen
15 B. Kuipers
18 T. Coremans
19 S. Pinas
21 E. Duplan
27 T. David
28 M. van Kins

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.