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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

NAC Breda

T T T U U

0–8

Full-time

Ajax

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,8

Scored

0,7

2,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

18%

64%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

55%

82%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–5

28% Possession 72%

13 Shots 30

6 Shots on target 14

3 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 9

5 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 16. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	10	0	1	+24	30
2	Ajax	11	7	1	3	+17	22
3	Zwolle	11	6	4	1	+7	22
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+4	22
5	Feyenoord	12	5	4	3	+7	19
6	Vitesse	10	5	3	2	+10	18
7	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+0	18
8	Excelsior	11	5	2	4	+0	17
9	Heracles	11	4	3	4	-1	15
10	VVV Venlo	12	3	5	4	-4	14
11	Den Haag	11	4	2	5	-4	14
12	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-6	13
13	Sparta Rotterdam	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Groningen	11	2	3	6	-5	9
15	Twente	12	3	0	9	-7	9
16	NAC Breda	11	2	3	6	-8	9
17	Willem II	11	3	0	8	-12	9
18	Roda	11	2	1	8	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Zwolle	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Heracles	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Ajax	5	3	0	2	+7	9
6	Twente	6	3	0	3	+1	9
7	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	VVV Venlo	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Heerenveen	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Willem II	5	1	0	4	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+10	13
3	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+10	13
4	Excelsior	5	4	1	0	+6	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+12	12
6	Feyenoord	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	VVV Venlo	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
10	Zwolle	6	1	4	1	-1	7
11	Utrecht	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-9	6
13	NAC Breda	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Roda	7	1	0	6	-10	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Groningen	5	0	0	5	-6	0
18	Twente	6	0	0	6	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.