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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Groningen

U S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Roda

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Roda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 22%

20%

23%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

53%

60%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

60%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,6

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

19 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 14. · Roda 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	30	25	2	3	+45	77
2	Ajax	30	22	4	4	+52	70
3	AZ Alkmaar	31	20	5	6	+30	65
4	Feyenoord	30	16	6	8	+28	54
5	Zwolle	31	12	8	11	-3	44
6	Heerenveen	29	11	9	9	-1	42
7	Vitesse	27	11	8	8	+15	41
8	Utrecht	26	11	8	7	+0	41
9	Den Haag	29	11	7	11	-6	40
10	Excelsior	31	11	6	14	-10	39
11	Heracles	31	10	7	14	-17	37
12	VVV Venlo	31	7	13	11	-12	34
13	Willem II	31	9	6	16	-10	33
14	Groningen	30	6	12	12	-5	30
15	NAC Breda	31	8	6	17	-18	30
16	Roda	30	7	5	18	-28	26
17	Sparta Rotterdam	31	6	6	19	-37	24
18	Twente	31	4	8	19	-23	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+32	43
2	Ajax	15	12	1	2	+27	37
3	Feyenoord	15	9	3	3	+16	30
4	Heracles	16	9	3	4	+4	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	9	2	4	+10	29
6	Zwolle	16	8	4	4	+8	28
7	Utrecht	13	6	6	1	+4	24
8	Groningen	15	5	7	3	+6	22
9	Willem II	15	6	3	6	+6	21
10	Den Haag	15	6	3	6	-2	21
11	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+8	20
12	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	NAC Breda	16	6	1	9	-8	19
14	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	2	8	-13	17
15	VVV Venlo	16	3	6	7	-7	15
16	Roda	15	4	3	8	-12	15
17	Twente	15	3	5	7	-8	14
18	Excelsior	15	3	4	8	-7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	1	3	+13	34
3	Ajax	15	10	3	2	+25	33
4	Excelsior	16	8	2	6	-3	26
5	Feyenoord	15	7	3	5	+12	24
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
7	Vitesse	13	6	3	4	+7	21
8	Den Haag	14	5	4	5	-4	19
9	VVV Venlo	15	4	7	4	-5	19
10	Utrecht	13	5	2	6	-4	17
11	Zwolle	15	4	4	7	-11	16
12	Willem II	16	3	3	10	-16	12
13	NAC Breda	15	2	5	8	-10	11
14	Roda	15	3	2	10	-16	11
15	Groningen	15	1	5	9	-11	8
16	Heracles	15	1	4	10	-21	7
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	1	4	11	-24	7
18	Twente	16	1	3	12	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.