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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Feyenoord
T U T S T
4–0
Full-time
De Graafschap
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord De Graafschap
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,3
3,8
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
60%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
65%
65%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
2,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%
28 Shots 13
16 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 12
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 3. · De Graafschap 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 18 1 1 +58 55
2 Ajax 21 16 2 3 +53 50
3 Feyenoord 20 12 3 5 +16 39
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 11 4 6 +17 37
5 Heracles 20 9 2 9 -6 29
6 VVV Venlo 20 7 5 8 -8 26
7 Utrecht 18 7 4 7 +1 25
8 Willem II 20 7 4 9 -6 25
9 Zwolle 21 7 4 10 -8 25
10 Vitesse 18 6 6 6 +1 24
11 Den Haag 20 6 6 8 -11 24
12 Heerenveen 21 5 8 8 -5 23
13 For Sittard 20 6 5 9 -9 23
14 Excelsior 20 6 4 10 -20 22
15 Groningen 19 6 3 10 -3 21
16 FC Emmen 20 5 6 9 -21 21
17 De Graafschap 20 5 3 12 -24 18
18 NAC Breda 21 4 4 13 -25 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord De Graafschap
1–0 T. Vilhena
S. Larsson
28′
38′
🟨 Charlison Benschop
Half-time 2–0
2–0 C. Verdonk
R. van Persie
52′
3–0 J. St. Juste
J. Clasie
54′
4–0 J. Toornstra
J. Clasie
63′
N. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ R. van Persie
64′
69′
🔁 F. Serrarens
↦ F. Narsingh
Y. Ayoub 🔁
↦ C. Verdonk
72′
75′
🔁 E. Bakker
↦ F. Olijve
O. Kökçü 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
79′
84′
🔁 D. van Mieghem
↦ C. Benschop
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 K. Vermeer G
24 R. Martina D
3 S. van Beek D
29 C. Verdonk D
4 J. St. Juste D
28 J. Toornstra M
8 J. Clasie M
10 T. Vilhena M
32 R. van Persie F
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
Bench (11)
9 N. Jørgensen
18 Y. Ayoub
23 O. Kökçü
2 B. Nieuwkoop
30 R. ten Hove
6 J. van der Heijden
34 D. Vente
17 L. Sinisterra
26 J. Wehrmann
13 J. Delle
38 L. Geertruida

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

De Graafschap

4-3-3
1 H. Jurjus G
24 R. Ligeon D
23 S. Nieuwpoort D
44 L. Owusu D
2 B. Straalman D
28 F. Olijve M
20 Y. El Jebli M
21 A. Matusiwa M
35 C. Benschop F
7 F. Narsingh F
25 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (9)
22 F. Serrarens
18 E. Bakker
11 D. van Mieghem
13 J. Rondeel
6 R. Klaasen
43 J. Vergara Berrio
36 K. Huntelaar
42 R. van Doorn
12 N. Bertrams

Coach: H. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.