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Eredivisie

Referee: Christaan Bax

Excelsior

T U T T S

0–2

Full-time

VVV Venlo

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

3 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 13. · VVV Venlo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+15	18
2	Heerenveen	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Zwolle	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Feyenoord	6	4	0	2	+6	12
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	0	2	+3	12
7	Ajax	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	Den Haag	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	VVV Venlo	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
11	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Twente	7	2	0	5	-1	6
16	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Willem II	7	1	0	6	-12	3
18	Roda	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Groningen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	NAC Breda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Den Haag	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Willem II	3	0	0	3	-3	0
17	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Excelsior	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	VVV Venlo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Ajax	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-9	3
13	Zwolle	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Twente	4	0	0	4	-5	0
18	Roda	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.