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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
PSV Eindhoven
U S S S T
4–0
Full-time
Zwolle
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 56%
78%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
78%
48%
Both score Ø 45%
48%
41%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Zwolle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 28 22 2 4 +71 68
2 PSV Eindhoven 27 21 4 2 +61 67
3 AZ Alkmaar 28 15 6 7 +23 51
4 Feyenoord 27 14 5 8 +21 47
5 Heracles 26 13 3 10 +2 42
6 Utrecht 25 11 7 7 +11 40
7 Willem II 28 12 4 12 -5 40
8 Vitesse 25 9 9 7 +7 36
9 Heerenveen 27 9 9 9 -2 36
10 Groningen 26 10 5 11 +0 35
11 VVV Venlo 28 9 6 13 -16 33
12 Zwolle 27 9 5 13 -8 32
13 Den Haag 28 7 9 12 -17 30
14 For Sittard 28 8 6 14 -19 30
15 Excelsior 28 7 5 16 -29 26
16 De Graafschap 28 7 4 17 -26 25
17 FC Emmen 28 6 7 15 -36 25
18 NAC Breda 28 5 6 17 -38 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Zwolle
1–0 L. de Jong
G. Pereiro
24′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Bergwijn
62′
64′
🔁 M. van Duinen
↦ L. Thy
3–0 L. de Jong
H. Lozano
76′
M. Ihattaren 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
78′
D. Malen 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
78′
78′
🔁 Z. Flemming
↦ G. Hamer
78′
🔁 S. Elbers
↦ K. Ehizibue
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
88′
4–0 D. Malen
C. Gakpo
94′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
7 G. Pereiro M
18 P. Rosario M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (12)
52 M. Ihattaren
14 D. Malen
19 C. Gakpo
25 É. Gutiérrez
3 A. Behich
15 A. Obispo
16 D. Rigo
41 M. van de Meulenhof
20 T. Sainsbury
33 J. Teze
32 M. Sadílek
13 E. Room

Coach: M. van Bommel

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
29 D. Lachman D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
20 K. Ehizibue D
21 Y. Namli F
6 G. Hamer M
10 L. Thy F
7 V. van Crooij F
22 P. Clement M
Bench (12)
9 M. van Duinen
14 Z. Flemming
25 S. Elbers
19 R. Dekker
8 C. Leemans
33 S. van den Berg
1 D. Boer
18 D. Koppers
4 Y. Nakayama
34 O. Bouy
23 D. Bouzanis
17 D. Genreau

Coach: J. Stam

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.