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Ligue 1

Referee: Nicolas Rainville

Toulouse

S U T S T

0–0

Full-time

Lille

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 42%

25%

59%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 15. · Lille 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	32	26	3	3	+66	81
2	Lille	32	19	7	6	+26	64
3	Lyon	33	17	8	8	+14	59
4	Marseille	33	16	6	11	+8	54
5	St Etienne	32	15	8	9	+11	53
6	Montpellier	33	13	12	8	+10	51
7	Reims	32	11	15	6	+0	48
8	Nice	33	13	9	11	-7	48
9	Nimes	33	13	7	13	+1	46
10	Strasbourg	33	10	14	9	+12	44
11	Rennes	33	11	10	12	-1	43
12	Angers	33	9	14	10	+0	41
13	Bordeaux	33	9	11	13	-5	38
14	Nantes	32	10	7	15	-4	37
15	Toulouse	32	8	11	13	-16	35
16	Monaco	32	7	11	14	-15	32
17	Amiens	32	8	8	16	-19	32
18	Dijon	33	7	7	19	-23	28
19	Caen	33	5	11	17	-22	26
20	Guingamp	33	5	9	19	-36	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	15	1	0	+47	46
2	Lyon	17	11	3	3	+15	36
3	St Etienne	16	11	2	3	+16	35
4	Lille	16	10	4	2	+20	34
5	Marseille	16	10	4	2	+17	34
6	Nimes	17	8	5	4	+10	29
7	Reims	16	7	7	2	+6	28
8	Montpellier	16	7	6	3	+10	27
9	Bordeaux	16	7	6	3	+6	27
10	Nice	16	8	3	5	+0	27
11	Rennes	16	7	5	4	+7	26
12	Strasbourg	17	6	7	4	+8	25
13	Nantes	16	7	4	5	+8	25
14	Angers	16	5	7	4	+3	22
15	Amiens	16	6	3	7	-3	21
16	Toulouse	16	4	7	5	-3	19
17	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-13	16
18	Monaco	17	3	6	8	-11	15
19	Guingamp	17	3	5	9	-11	14
20	Caen	16	2	5	9	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	11	2	3	+19	35
2	Lille	16	9	3	4	+6	30
3	Montpellier	17	6	6	5	+0	24
4	Lyon	16	6	5	5	-1	23
5	Nice	17	5	6	6	-7	21
6	Reims	16	4	8	4	-6	20
7	Marseille	17	6	2	9	-9	20
8	Strasbourg	16	4	7	5	+4	19
9	Angers	17	4	7	6	-3	19
10	St Etienne	16	4	6	6	-5	18
11	Monaco	15	4	5	6	-4	17
12	Rennes	17	4	5	8	-8	17
13	Nimes	16	5	2	9	-9	17
14	Toulouse	16	4	4	8	-13	16
15	Caen	17	3	6	8	-10	15
16	Dijon	16	3	3	10	-10	12
17	Nantes	16	3	3	10	-12	12
18	Bordeaux	17	2	5	10	-11	11
19	Amiens	16	2	5	9	-16	11
20	Guingamp	16	2	4	10	-25	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.