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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
VVV Venlo
S T T T S
0–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 58%
36%
80%
Points per game
1,3
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
56%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,3
3,1
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
7 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match VVV Venlo 10. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 25 20 4 1 +62 64
2 Ajax 25 20 2 3 +67 62
3 Feyenoord 26 14 5 7 +22 47
4 AZ Alkmaar 25 13 5 7 +21 44
5 Heracles 24 12 3 9 +2 39
6 Vitesse 23 9 7 7 +7 34
7 Utrecht 23 9 7 7 +6 34
8 Willem II 26 10 4 12 -7 34
9 Heerenveen 26 8 9 9 -3 33
10 VVV Venlo 25 9 5 11 -11 32
11 Groningen 23 8 5 10 -1 29
12 For Sittard 26 8 5 13 -18 29
13 Den Haag 25 7 7 11 -16 28
14 Zwolle 25 7 5 13 -13 26
15 Excelsior 25 7 5 13 -25 26
16 De Graafschap 26 7 4 15 -24 25
17 FC Emmen 26 6 7 13 -30 25
18 NAC Breda 26 4 5 17 -39 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo PSV Eindhoven
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ M. Ihattaren
78′
🔁 C. Gakpo
↦ M. Sadílek
J. Grot 🔁
↦ R. Janssen
86′
86′
H. Lozano 0–1
P. Rosario
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

1 L. Unnerstall
14 C. Kum
4 R. Janssen
13 N. Röseler
2 M. Rutten
6 D. Post
10 J. Opoku
8 P. van Ooijen
26 P. Mlapa
9 R. Seuntjens
19 P. Joosten
Bench (12)
11 J. Grot
35 S. Steijn
34 S. Jansson
15 Josimar Lima
29 E. Linthorst
22 B. Verbong
20 D. van Bruggen
25 E. Korkmaz
16 D. van Crooij
38 Y. Roemer
17 T. Dekker
21 A. Borgmann

Coach: M. Steijn

PSV Eindhoven

1 J. Zoet
5 D. Schwaab
4 N. Viergever
6 Angeliño
22 D. Dumfries
32 M. Sadílek
18 P. Rosario
52 M. Ihattaren
9 L. de Jong
17 S. Bergwijn
11 H. Lozano
Bench (12)
14 D. Malen
19 C. Gakpo
15 A. Obispo
16 D. Rigo
33 J. Teze
13 E. Room
7 G. Pereiro
3 A. Behich
8 J. Hendrix
41 M. van de Meulenhof
25 É. Gutiérrez
20 T. Sainsbury

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.